• The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Yankees
• Yankees vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Yankees / Guardians TV Channel: FS1 | YES | GDTV

The New York Yankees (+110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on June 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Yankees are 38-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 33-34 ATS.

Yankees vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 7-1, 3.20 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 9-3, 3.19 ERA

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in his last 15 away games (+15.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.20 Units / 127% ROI)
• Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+22.90 Units / 229% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+11.00 Units / 138% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 52% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 45 games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+9.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 31-32 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 6.66% ROI).

• 38-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -2.92% ROI
• 28-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -10.59% ROI
• 32-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.35% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 33-34 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -1.94% ROI).

• 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 8.06% ROI
• 33-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -5.47% ROI
• 34-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -3.69% ROI

Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Yankees are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Yankees are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Yankees are 38-26 (.594) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 18-1 (.947) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .756.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Guardians are 19-10 (.655) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Guardians are just 1-23 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Guardians are 11-2 (.846) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Guardians are 27-2 (.931) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .799 (776 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 209 extra-base hits out of 510 total hits (41%) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .658 in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 15% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .159 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .374 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

9% of Guardians’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (233/2,506 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.21 runs per game (106/33) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (288.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have allowed 55 home runs this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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