- The Yankees are -105 favorites vs the Mariners
- Yankees vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Yankees / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | YES
The New York Yankees (-105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-115) on March 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Yankees are 3-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 2-2 ATS.
Yankees vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.80 Units / 295% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+21.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games (+9.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 92 of their last 162 games (+19.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 54 games at home (+16.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 44 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 3-0 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 133.33% ROI).
- 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 77.92% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -66.67% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 60.61% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 20% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -23.13% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 44.83% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -51.69% ROI
Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | +275 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | +340 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | +425 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | +475 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | +500 |
Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Brendan Donovan (SEA) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers (NYY) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees were 56-37 (.602) after a win in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Yankees were 44-37 (.543) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .457.
The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 111-77 (.590) after a win since the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners were 70-3 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Mariners were 40-23 (.635) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face Yankees (first in runs allowed).
The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Mariners are 19-113 (.144) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters slugged .695 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Yankees hitters slugged .455 in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners hitters had an OPS of .776 (3,230 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Yankees pitchers walked 9% of batters in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 44% against Yankees pitchers in the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2024 season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .267 (2,938 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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