• The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Mariners
• Yankees vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Yankees / Mariners TV Channel: TBS | MRTV | YES

The New York Yankees (-115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-105) on March 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Yankees are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 3-2 ATS.

Yankees vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 1-0, 0.00 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 0-0, 5.07 ERA

Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+10.95 Units / 156% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 57% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.80 Units / 216% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 60% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+21.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.40 Units / 46% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games (+9.85 Units / 10% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 92 of their last 162 games (+19.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 54 games at home (+16.75 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 44 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 3-1 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 75% ROI).

• 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 35.64% ROI
• 0-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
• 3-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 31.58% ROI).

• 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -7.14% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 15.6% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -23.42% ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Yankees are 94-29 (.764) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.

The Yankees were 29-23 (.558) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face Mariners (seventh in runs allowed).

The Yankees were 44-37 (.543) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Yankees are 165-47 (.778) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Mariners were 9-55 (.141) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Mariners were 5-59 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mariners were 18-10 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters drew walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters slugged .457 against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters slugged .455 in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mariners hitters slugged .444 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters had an OPS of .776 (3,230 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

The Yankees pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 44% against Yankees pitchers in the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .267 (2,938 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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