- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Nationals
- Yankees vs Nationals Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Yankees / Nationals TV Channel: YES | NATV | WTTG
The New York Yankees (-160) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.
This season, the Yankees are 50-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 57-35 ATS.
Yankees vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 3-7, 4.32 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Carson Palmquist 0-1, 7.11 ERA
Yankees vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -105 | O 10 -110 | -160 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -115 | U 10 -110 | +135 |
Yankees vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 74% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorbit Vivas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+20.50 Units / 293% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+9.70 Units / 64% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+15.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+15.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 41-50 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -5.11% ROI).
- 50-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -7.99% ROI
- 41-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -11.06% ROI
- 47-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 1.99% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 57-35 against the Run Line (+14.65 Units / 11.3% ROI).
- 48-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 12.23% ROI
- 55-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +18 Units / 17.41% ROI
- 34-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.25 Units / -25.37% ROI
Nationals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Ben Rice | +210 |
| Trent Grisham | +300 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | +310 |
| James Wood | +310 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | +350 |
Nationals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jasson Dominguez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| James Wood | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trent Grisham | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Curtis Mead | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nasim Nunez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Dylan Crews | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Andres Chaparro | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Yankees are 33-4 (.892) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Yankees are 36-3 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Yankees are 23-2 (.920) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Yankees are 18-1 (.947) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Nationals are 40-8 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Nationals are just 38-11 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The Nationals are just 20-28 (.417) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Nationals are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
Yankees hitters have 175 extra-base hits out of 394 total hits (44%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .232 (1,898 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Yankees hitters have 184 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (39%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .761 (3,628 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .435 this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .293 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .752 (1,799 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (435.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (824.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 6.15 runs per game (295/48) at home this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.47 (439.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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