• The Yankees are -180 favorites vs the Orioles
• Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | YES

The New York Yankees (-180) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+150) on May 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Yankees are 26-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 18-23 ATS.

Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 2-2, 3.03 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 3-1, 4.36 ERA

Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 66.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Yankees vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+13.90 Units / 174% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.65 Units / 63% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.60 Units / 54% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 away games (+7.25 Units / 91% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+5.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+2.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 23-18 against the Run Line (+8.8 Units / 20.07% ROI).

• 26-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 2.03% ROI
• 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -11.35% ROI
• 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 2.32% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 18-23 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -10.83% ROI).

• 18-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -17.17% ROI
• 26-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 20.99% ROI
• 15-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -29.89% ROI

Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Yankees are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Yankees are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

The Yankees are 26-15 (.634) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are 6-1 (.857) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .624.

The Orioles are just 4-19 (.174) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Orioles are just 1-8 (.111) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (second in runs allowed).

The Orioles are just 2-96 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have 50 extra-base hits out of 103 total hits (48%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .724 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 140 extra-base hits out of 321 total hits (44%) this season — best in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .253 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .367 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .214 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.59 (184.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (364.0 IP) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 9.00 (59.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.41 runs per game (222/41) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.65 runs per game (113/20) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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