• The Yankees are -120 favorites vs the Phillies
• Yankees vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Yankees / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | YES

The New York Yankees (-120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+100) on July 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Yankees are 58-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 39-64 ATS.

Yankees vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 3-7, 4.40 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Alan Rangel 0-3, 5.41 ERA

Yankees vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Yankees vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 35% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+9.75 Units / 122% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+22.20 Units / 222% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 49% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 50-52 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 1.58% ROI).

• 58-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -4.23% ROI
• 44-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -17 Units / -14.92% ROI
• 55-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 6.07% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 39-64 against the Run Line (-31.25 Units / -25.51% ROI).

• 56-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -2.5% ROI
• 43-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.5 Units / -17% ROI
• 57-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.2 Units / 8.93% ROI

Phillies vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Yankees are 25-2 (.926) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The Yankees are 36-4 (.900) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Yankees are 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Yankees are 32-22 (.593) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Phillies are just 5-19 (.208) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Phillies are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Phillies are 11-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .788.

The Phillies are 38-5 (.884) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have 188 extra-base hits out of 431 total hits (44%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 110 extra-base hits out of 275 total hits (40%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .468 with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .221 (2,121 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .448 (2,121 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are just 6-19 (.240) against the run line (-63.5% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.

Phillies hitters are slugging .764 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.05 (471.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.37 runs per game (182/54) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .286 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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