• The Yankees are +100 favorites vs the Rays
• Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Yankees / Rays TV Channel: RATV | YES | TBS

The New York Yankees (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on July 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Yankees are against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are ATS.

Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 7-3, 3.72 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Ian Seymour 5-1, 4.05 ERA

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+21.50 Units / 239% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+14.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Jasson Dominguez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jonny Deluca has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+16.00 Units / 160% ROI)
• Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 48% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 50 away games (+2.80 Units / 5% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+20.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+14.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 32-4 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Yankees are 22-1 (.957) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Yankees are 35-3 (.921) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 31-13 (.705) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Rays are 9-28 (.243) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Rays are 42-1 (.977) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

The Rays are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 278 extra-base hits out of 694 total hits (40%) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have 219 extra-base hits out of 755 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .203 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.07 (410.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (799.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have 112 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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