Yankees vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 8

Tampa Bay Rays' Junior Caminero reacts after hitting a home run during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets Saturday, June 14, 2025, in New York.
(AP Photo/Pamela Smith)
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  • The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Yankees
  • Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Yankees / Rays TV Channel: RATV | Amazon

The New York Yankees (+110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on July 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Yankees are 50-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 52-37 ATS.

Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 3-3, 4.04 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 7-5, 3.07 ERA

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees+1.5 -200O 7.5 -125+110
Rays -1.5 +165U 7.5 +105-135

Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+10.65 Units / 152% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+10.95 Units / 137% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+3.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+20.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+15.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 41-49 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -3.18% ROI).

  • 50-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -7.32% ROI
  • 41-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -10.17% ROI
  • 46-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 52-37 against the Run Line (+21.65 Units / 20.01% ROI).

  • 53-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 10.49% ROI
  • 39-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -11.74% ROI
  • 46-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 2.9% ROI

Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +250
Ben Rice +340
Jonathan Aranda +425
Trent Grisham +425
Paul Goldschmidt +425

Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chandler Simpson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Junior Caminero 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Amed Rosario 0.5 -210 0.5 +150

Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Anthony Volpe 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Taylor Walls 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Trent Grisham 0.5 -250 0.5 +180

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 32-4 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Yankees are 35-3 (.921) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .784.

The Yankees are 22-2 (.917) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 32-13 (.711) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Rays are 9-28 (.243) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Rays are 35-17 (.673) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Rays are 16-13 (.552) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (fifth in runs allowed).

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 172 extra-base hits out of 383 total hits (45%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .449 at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .775 (1,589 PA’s) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 223 extra-base hits out of 763 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .275 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (418.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (807.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .273 (798 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.