Yankees vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 25

Kansas City Royals' Bobby Witt Jr. during a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies in Kansas City, Mo., Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)
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  • The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Royals
  • Yankees vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Yankees / Royals TV Channel: ESPN

The New York Yankees (-140) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+115) on May 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Yankees are 31-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 22-29 ATS.

Yankees vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 6-1, 3.59 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-2, 2.73 ERA

Yankees vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +118O 9 -110-140
Royals +1.5 -145U 9 -110+115

Yankees vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in his last 15 away games (+15.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+13.00 Units / 186% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+10.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael Wacha has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+3.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 26-26 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 5.97% ROI).

  • 31-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -5.64% ROI
  • 22-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -13.72% ROI
  • 28-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 4.72% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 22-29 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -18.49% ROI).

  • 22-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -23.55% ROI
  • 23-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -18.72% ROI
  • 30-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 10.17% ROI

Royals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +195
Ben Rice +280
Trent Grisham +390
Vinnie Pasquantino +400
Bobby Witt Jr. +400

Royals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ben Rice 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Salvador Perez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Royals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Salvador Perez 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Aaron Judge 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Yankees are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Yankees are 4-13 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Yankees are 22-2 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Yankees are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Royals are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 3-10 (.231) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Yankees (fifth in runs scored).

The Royals are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Royals are just 20-26 (.435) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Yankees hitters are slugging .476 at home this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .138 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 63 extra-base hits out of 136 total hits (46%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .793 (646 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Royals are batting just .215 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (894 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .626 (894 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .338 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (235.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (469.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.19 runs per game (86/27) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (1,257 batted balls) this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Royals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH this season (1,257 balls in play) — 5th highest in MLB

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.