• The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Twins
• Yankees vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Yankees / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | YES

The New York Yankees (-140) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+115) on September 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Yankees are 86-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 78-69 ATS.

Yankees vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 10-6, 4.04 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 3-5, 5.71 ERA

Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Spencer Jones has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+12.30 Units / 176% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.80 Units / 40% ROI)
• Royce Lewis has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• Kody Clemens has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 46% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.20 Units / 61% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.15 Units / 279% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 away games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.05 Units / 29% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.95 Units / 23% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 75-73 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 6.55% ROI).

• 86-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -1.16% ROI
• 65-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.3 Units / -13.56% ROI
• 79-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 4.74% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 78-69 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -4.52% ROI).

• 70-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -5.33% ROI
• 80-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.1 Units / 7.94% ROI
• 60-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.9 Units / -17.12% ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Yankees are 50-6 (.893) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 55-6 (.902) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 17-20 (.459) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Twins are just 26-22 (.542) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 14-9 (.609) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 2-68 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .229 (3,027 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging just .181 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .772 (1,776 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

Twins hitters are slugging just .360 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 87 extra-base hits out of 195 total hits (45%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .677 (1,710 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.95 (661.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .223 against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.47 runs per game (405/74) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 51% of their games this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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