• The Yankees are -185 favorites vs the Twins
• Yankees vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Yankees / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | YES

The New York Yankees (-185) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+150) on September 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Yankees are 87-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 78-70 ATS.

Yankees vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 4-4, 2.78 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 7-5, 4.28 ERA

Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• José Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.80 Units / 40% ROI)
• Royce Lewis has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 57% ROI)
• Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• Kody Clemens has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 36% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+14.35 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.10 Units / 32% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.20 Units / 26% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 76-73 against the Run Line (+12.4 Units / 7.28% ROI).

• 87-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -0.7% ROI
• 66-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -12.87% ROI
• 79-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 4.04% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 78-70 against the Run Line (-11.1 Units / -5.19% ROI).

• 70-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -5.89% ROI
• 81-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.1 Units / 8.49% ROI
• 60-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -29 Units / -17.68% ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Yankees are 51-6 (.895) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 22-2 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Yankees are 87-63 (.580) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Twins are just 26-22 (.542) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 14-9 (.609) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 2-69 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .778 (1,792 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .229 (3,053 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging .423 against RHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Twins hitters have 319 extra-base hits out of 774 total hits (41%) in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (670.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (394.2 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.39 runs per game (258/76) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.22 (633.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.47 runs per game (405/74) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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