MLS Predictions, Odds: D.C. United vs. Chicago Fire

Seeking an end to their two-game losing streak, the D.C. United host the Chicago Fire on Saturday at Audi Field. 

Most recently, D.C. traveled to Miami and fell 1-0 to this season’s title favorites. That marks their second consecutive defeat after falling 4-1 to the New York Red Bulls. 

As for Chicago, they’ve dropped four games in a row and haven’t picked up a straight up win since April 6 against Houston. 

Here’s a look at the MLS odds and my prediction for Saturday’s Eastern Conference game. 

MLS Odds – D.C. United vs. Chicago Fire

• D.C. United Moneyline: -160
• Chicago Fire Moneyline: +360
• Draw Moneyline: +310
• Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+120/-175)

MLS Predictions – D.C. United vs. Chicago Fire

D.C. United Moneyline (-160)

Don’t let the recent results fool you — United have run super unlucky based on their underlying metrics. 

They lost 1-0 at Miami, but they finished the match level on both expected and post-shot expected goals, per fbref.com. 

In their most recent home match, the final expected goals tally was even more head-scratching. 

United lost 4-1 at home to NY Red Bulls, but they won the expected goals battle 3.0 to 2.3 and the post-shot expected goals battle 3.4 to 3.0, per fotmob.com. 

That renders this an outstanding buy-low spot against a Fire side with a horrendous record away from home. 

Chicago is 0-3-3 (W-D-L) away from the Windy City this season and possesses a -0.8 expected goal differential per 90 minutes. 

Plus, D.C. absolutely bossed them in the previous meeting at Audi Field. 

United captured a 4-0 win over the Fire back in September while dominating the underlying metrics.

Expected goals finished 1.9-1.2, post-shot expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.9, and big scoring chances finished 4-1, all in favor of the hosts. 

As a result, I’ll back United to end their losing streak with a convincing home win on Saturday against one of the East’s worst sides. 

D.C. United Form 

May 18 at Inter Miami: 0-1, L

May 15 vs. NY Red Bulls: 1-4, L

May 11 at Atlanta: 3-2, W

May 4 vs. Philadelphia: 2-2, D

April 27 vs. Seattle: 2-1, W

Chicago Fire Form

May 18 vs. Columbus: 1-3, L

May 15 vs. Charlotte: 0-1, L

May 11 at St. Louis: 1-3, L

May 4 vs. New England: 0-1, L

April 27 vs. Atlanta United: 0-0, D

D.C. United vs. Chicago Fire Head-to-Head Record

Sept. 2, 2023: D.C. United, 4-0 (Audi Field)

April 1, 2023: Draw, 0-0 (Soldier Field)

June 18, 2022: Chicago Fire, 1-0 (Soldier Field)

March 12, 2022: Chicago Fire, 2-0 (Audi Field)

Sept. 15, 2021: D.C. United, 3-0 (Audi Field)

MLS Match Schedule This Weekend

MLS Eastern Conference Standings

MLS Western Conference Standings