MLS Predictions, Odds: D.C. United vs. Chicago Fire

min read
D.C. United's Christian Benteke, right, is congratulated by teammate Theodore Ku-DiPietro after scoring during the first half of an MLS soccer match against St. Louis City Saturday, March 23, 2024, in St. Louis.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion May 24, 2024, 1:44 PM
  • D.C. United is a -0.5-goal favorite against Chicago Fire.
  • United captured a 4-0 head-to-head win when these sides met last September.
  • Why bettors should expect a bounce-back result for the hosts.

Seeking an end to their two-game losing streak, the D.C. United host the Chicago Fire on Saturday at Audi Field. 

Most recently, D.C. traveled to Miami and fell 1-0 to this season’s title favorites. That marks their second consecutive defeat after falling 4-1 to the New York Red Bulls. 

As for Chicago, they’ve dropped four games in a row and haven’t picked up a straight up win since April 6 against Houston. 

Here’s a look at the MLS odds and my prediction for Saturday’s Eastern Conference game. 

MLS Odds – D.C. United vs. Chicago Fire

  • D.C. United Moneyline: -160
  • Chicago Fire Moneyline: +360
  • Draw Moneyline: +310
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+120/-175)

MLS Predictions – D.C. United vs. Chicago Fire

D.C. United Moneyline (-160)

Don’t let the recent results fool you — United have run super unlucky based on their underlying metrics. 

They lost 1-0 at Miami, but they finished the match level on both expected and post-shot expected goals, per 

In their most recent home match, the final expected goals tally was even more head-scratching. 

United lost 4-1 at home to NY Red Bulls, but they won the expected goals battle 3.0 to 2.3 and the post-shot expected goals battle 3.4 to 3.0, per 

That renders this an outstanding buy-low spot against a Fire side with a horrendous record away from home. 

Chicago is 0-3-3 (W-D-L) away from the Windy City this season and possesses a -0.8 expected goal differential per 90 minutes. 

Plus, D.C. absolutely bossed them in the previous meeting at Audi Field. 

United captured a 4-0 win over the Fire back in September while dominating the underlying metrics.

Expected goals finished 1.9-1.2, post-shot expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.9, and big scoring chances finished 4-1, all in favor of the hosts. 

As a result, I’ll back United to end their losing streak with a convincing home win on Saturday against one of the East’s worst sides. 

D.C. United Form 

May 18 at Inter Miami: 0-1, L

May 15 vs. NY Red Bulls: 1-4, L

May 11 at Atlanta: 3-2, W

May 4 vs. Philadelphia: 2-2, D

April 27 vs. Seattle: 2-1, W

Chicago Fire Form

May 18 vs. Columbus: 1-3, L

May 15 vs. Charlotte: 0-1, L

May 11 at St. Louis: 1-3, L

May 4 vs. New England: 0-1, L

April 27 vs. Atlanta United: 0-0, D

D.C. United vs. Chicago Fire Head-to-Head Record

Sept. 2, 2023: D.C. United, 4-0 (Audi Field)

April 1, 2023: Draw, 0-0 (Soldier Field)

June 18, 2022: Chicago Fire, 1-0 (Soldier Field)

March 12, 2022: Chicago Fire, 2-0 (Audi Field)

Sept. 15, 2021: D.C. United, 3-0 (Audi Field)

MLS Match Schedule This Weekend

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
NYCFCSan Jose EarthquakesMay. 317:30 PMYankee Stadium
D.C. UnitedToronto FCJun. 17:30 PMAudi Field
Inter MiamiSt. Louis SCJun. 17:30 PMChase Field
NY Red BullsOrlando SCJun. 17:30 PMRed Bull Arena
Philadelphia UnionMontrealJun. 17:30 PMSubaru Park
Chicago FireLA GalaxyJun. 18:30 PMSoldier Field
Minnesota UnitedSporting KCJun. 18:30 PMAllianz Field
Nashville SCNew England RevolutionJun. 18:30 PMGEODIS Park
Real Salt LakeAustin FCJun. 19:30 PMAmerica First Field
LAFCFC DallasJun. 110:30 PMBMO Stadium
Portland TimbersHouston DynamoJun. 110:30 PMProvidence Park
Vancouver WhitecapsColorado RapidsJun. 110:30 PMBC Place
Atlanta UnitedCharlotte FCJun. 22:45 PMMercedes-Benz Stadium

MLS Eastern Conference Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Inter Miami10-4-33415
FC Cincinnati10-3-3337
NY Red Bulls7-5-3266
Columbus Crew6-6-2248
Toronto FC7-2-7230
Charlotte FC6-4-622-1
Philadelphia Union4-7-4194
Nashville SC4-7-419-1
D.C. United4-6-618-6
Orlando City4-5-617-7
Atlanta United4-4-7162
CF Montreal4-4-716-12
Chicago Fire2-6-812-13
NE Revolution2-1-107-17

MLS Western Conference Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Real Salt Lake8-6-23013
LA Galaxy7-7-2285
Minnesota United7-4-3255
Austin FC6-5-5230
Vancouver Whitecaps6-4-5224
Colorado Rapids6-4-622-1
Houston Dynamo6-3-6210
Portland Timbers5-4-7190
Seattle Sounders4-6-6180
St. Louis SC3-7-416-2
FC Dallas3-4-713-6
San Jose Earthquakes3-2-1011-11
Sporting KC2-5-811-5

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.