NBA Public Betting: Money Percentages & Consensus Picks

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Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics looks on during the game against the Miami Heat on February 11, 2024 at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida.
(Eric Espada/Getty Images)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jun 26, 2024, 9:54 AM
  • The Boston Celtics (+300) have received the most tickets to win another title.
  • Only three teams have received more than 10% of tickets to win next year’s title.
  • Three Western Conference teams have received a higher handle percentage.

With only a few months separating bettors from the 2024-25 NBA season, I’m here to break down public betting trends for the futures market, 

Within a one-game sample, the public side is defined as the spread, total, or moneyline, which receives a majority of tickets. 

In an index market — NBA Championship Winner, for example — it’s the team with a plurality of tickets. 

In terms of sharp betting indicators, bettors can determine the “sharp” side by looking for markets with a higher money percentage compared to their tickets. 

With that established, let’s dive into the report based on NBA odds at the BetMGM online sportsbook.  

NBA Public Betting — Championship Winner

The Boston Celtics (+300) are preferred by bettors to repeat as NBA champions. 

As of June 26, Boston has received 26.3% of tickets to win another NBA championship. That’s almost double the next closest team: the Denver Nuggets (+750), who have received 13.7%. 

Only one other team has received more than 10% of tickets: the Oklahoma City Thunder (+900). Oklahoma City has received 12.1% of tickets to win next year’s title. 

A severe drop-off occurs from there, with only two other teams receiving more than 5% of tickets. 

Those teams are the Philadelphia 76ers (+1400, 6.5% of tickets) and the New York Knicks (+900, 5.1% of tickets). 

NBA Sharp Betting — Championship Winner

Three Western Conference teams have received a significantly higher handle percentage compared to their ticket count. 

Chief amongst those teams is the Thunder, who have accounted for a whopping 39.7% of the handle on 12.1% of tickets. 

The Nuggets have also received a higher handle percentage. As of June 26, Denver accounts for 18% of the handle on 13.7% of tickets. 

Finally, the Minnesota Timberwolves have seen a high handle percentage despite few tickets. 

Minnesota, who fell in the Western Conference Finals, has received only 3.2% of all bets. However, it comes against 13.8% of the total handle.

NBA Odds at BetMGM

BetMGM is the premier best online sportsbook for NBA betting throughout the year.

From offseason NBA championship futures to spreads, parlays, and player props during the championship series, there are a variety of NBA Finals odds to pick from.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.