- Bet this Same Game Parlay for Game 1 of the NBA Finals
Here are NBA betting picks and predictions based on NBA odds for Thursday’s schedule.
This marks the start of the 2024 NBA Finals, which pits the Boston Celtics against the Dallas Mavericks. In two head-to-head meetings this season, Boston finished 2-0 SU and won by 28 in their lone home game.
However, they failed to effectively limit Luka Dončić, who combined for 70 points in both games.
NBA Picks Today: Thursday, June 6
Celtics vs. Mavericks – 8:30 p.m. ET
Pick: Same Game Parlay – Celtics Moneyline & Kristaps Porzingis Over 1.5 Assists (+140)
Shane Jackson: Bettors need to understand that lines will likely be highly efficient in the NBA Finals, but there are some opportunities to take advantage of the unknown. Porzingis’ return is one example, as he hasn’t played in a game since April 29 due to a calf injury.
Before this injury, Porzingis averaged 20.1 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per game in his first season with the Celtics. He dished out multiple assists in 61% of his games this year.
NBA Regular Season ATS Records – Playoff Teams
| Team | ATS Record | ATS Win Pct. |
| Mavericks | 48-34-0 | .585 |
| Celtics | 41-36-5 | .533 |
NBA Regular Season Over/Under Records – Playoff Teams
| Team | Over Record | Over Pct. | Under Pct. |
| Celtics | 43-39-0 | .524 | .476 |
| Mavericks | 36-45-1 | .444 | .556 |
How Often Do Favorites Cover in NBA Betting?
Favorites covered the spread in 49.9% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons (2013-22).
The New York Knicks were the best team as a favorite over that time, covering in 53.9% of opportunities.
The Washington Wizards were the worst favorite, covering in 45% of opportunities.
How Often Do Underdogs Cover in NBA Betting?
Underdogs covered the spread in 50.1% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Boston Celtics were the best team as an underdog over that time, covering in 58.1% of opportunities.
The Houston Rockets were the worst underdog, covering in 45.1% of opportunities.
How Often Do Home Teams Cover in NBA Betting?
Home teams covered the spread in 49.4% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Memphis Grizzlies were the best home team over that time, covering in 53.7% of games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves were the worst home team, covering in 45.1% of games.
How Often Do Road Teams Cover in NBA Betting?
Road teams covered the spread in 50.6% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Celtics were the best road team over that time, covering in 56.1% of games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers were the worst road team, covering in 44.3% of games.
How Often Do Favorites Win in NBA Betting?
Favorites won 67.9% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Golden State Warriors had the best record as a moneyline favorite over that time, winning 76.2% of games.
The Sacramento Kings had the worst record as a moneyline favorite, winning 58.7% of games.
How Often Do Underdogs Win in NBA Betting?
Underdogs won 32.1% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Toronto Raptors had the best record as moneyline underdog over that time, winning 41.4% of games.
The Philadelphia 76ers had the worst record as a moneyline underdog, winning 26.5% of games.
How Often Do Home Teams Win in NBA Betting?
Home teams won 57.3% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Warriors had the best moneyline home record over that time, winning 74.6% of games.
The Knicks had the worst moneyline home record, winning 42.8% of games.
How Often Do Road Teams Win in NBA Betting?
Road teams won 42.7% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Warriors had the best moneyline road record over that time, winning 57.5% of games.
The Orlando Magic had the moneyline worst road record, winning 28.6% of games.
NBA Finals Betting Odds
When the stakes are raised on the court, you can raise the stakes at with NBA Finals betting. Throughout the championship series, you can bet online with NBA Finals odds for spreads, player props, parlays, and more.
If you don’t have a sportsbook account, register today with BetMGM’s welcome bonus. And check back for the best sportsbook promotions each day of the year.
