- Get expert betting picks & predictions for today's top NBA games.
- My favorite total is the under in Friday’s Hornets vs. Thunder matchup.
- My favorite prop is over 4.5 assists for Derrick White.
The NBA playoffs are around the corner, so bookmark this page for daily expert betting picks and predictions involving over/under totals and player prop markets.
Read on for NBA betting picks and predictions based on the latest NBA odds at the online sportsbook for Friday’s schedule:
NBA Predictions Over/Under Today
My best over/under prediction today is under 225.5 (-110) for Friday’s Charlotte Hornets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder matchup.
This total has dropped three points overnight for a reason. The Hornets, who are 29th in offensive rating, might struggle to break 100 against the top-ranked defense in the league.
In addition, the Thunder are still without Jalen Williams as the team’s No. 2 scorer. Oklahoma City has averaged 121 points per game and ranks 15th in pace since he’s been sidelined.
Prediction: Hornets vs. Thunder Under 225.5 (-110)
NBA Player Prop Bet Predictions Today: Derrick White
Based on the latest NBA betting lines, I predict Boston Celtics guard Derrick White will finish over 4.5 assists (+114) against the Utah Jazz as my favorite player prop for Friday’s NBA slate.
There is a plus-money price on the over after White has finished with four assists in back-to-back games. He’s averaging 4.5 assists per game this season and 4.6 over his last 10 outings.
I like his chances of dishing five dimes against a Utah team that ranks 28th in defensive rating. I like this prop at +100 or better.
Prediction: Derrick White Over 4.5 Assists (+114)
NBA Best Bets Today, March 21
| Game | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Thunder | Under 225.5 | -110 |
| Celtics vs. Jazz | Derrick White Over 4.5 Assists | +114 |
NBA Standings 2025
How Often Do Favorites Cover in NBA Betting?
Favorites covered the spread in 50% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The New York Knicks were the best team as a favorite over that time, covering in 55% of opportunities.
The Minnesota Timberwolves were the worst favorite, covering in 46% of opportunities.
How Often Do Underdogs Cover in NBA Betting?
Underdogs covered the spread in 50% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Boston Celtics were the best team as an underdog over that time, covering in 59% of opportunities.
The Houston Rockets were the worst underdog, covering in 45% of opportunities.
How Often Do Home Teams Cover in NBA Betting?
Home teams covered the spread in 49.4% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Memphis Grizzlies were the best home team over that time, covering in 53.7% of games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves were the worst home team, covering in 45.1% of games.
How Often Do Road Teams Cover in NBA Betting?
Road teams covered the spread in 50.6% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Celtics were the best road team over that time, covering in 56.1% of games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers were the worst road team, covering in 44.3% of games.
How Often Do Favorites Win in NBA Betting?
Favorites won 68% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Golden State Warriors had the best record as a moneyline favorite over that time, winning 76% of games.
The Detroit Pistons had the worst record as a moneyline favorite, winning 60% of games.
How Often Do Underdogs Win in NBA Betting?
Underdogs won 32% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Boston Celtics had the best record as moneyline underdog over that time, winning 40% of games.
The Pistons had the worst record as a moneyline underdog, winning 26% of games.
How Often Do Home Teams Win in NBA Betting?
Home teams won 57% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Warriors had the best moneyline home record over that time, winning 74% of games.
The Pistons had the worst moneyline home record, winning 43% of games.
How Often Do Road Teams Win in NBA Betting?
Road teams won 43% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Warriors had the best moneyline road record over that time, winning 58% of games.
The Pistons had the moneyline worst road record, winning 29% of games.
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