Utah Valley vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 14

(AP Photo)
  • Nevada is a -9.5 point favorite vs Utah Valley
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Utah Valley / Nevada TV channel: ESPN+

The Utah Valley Wolverines visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack on Nov. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00 pm.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Utah Valley vs. Nevada Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Utah Valley vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah Valley+9.5 -110O 152.5 -105+360
Nevada -9.5 -110U 152.5 -115-475

Utah Valley vs Nevada Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this college basketball game with 79.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Utah Valley vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Utah Valley will cover the spread with 66.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Utah Valley has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 17 games at home (+17.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Utah Valley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah Valley has a 13-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.75 Units / -17.4% ROI).

  • 22-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.37% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 20-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.7 Units / 15.24% ROI).

  • 21-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -0.44% ROI
  • 19-15 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 6.68% ROI
  • 15-19 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -15.78% ROI

Utah Valley Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah Valley is shooting 50% (1,063/2,111) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 45%

Utah Valley has averaged 1.38 points per shot (2,909 points/2,111 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Utah Valley shot 50% (997/1,989) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Utah Valley is shooting 50% (1,063/2,111) since the start of the 2025-26 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 45%

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada averaged 0.92 points per shot (100 points/109 shots) on mid-range shots in the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 0.76

Nevada shot 46% (50/109) on mid-range shots in the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 38%

Nevada shot 46% from inside the arc (50/109) on mid-range shots in the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 38%

Nevada averaged 2.7 turnovers per game (52 turnovers/19 games) in possessions with two to five passes in the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 3.4

Utah Valley Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah Valley has averaged 9.9 steals per game (356 steals/36 games) since the start of the 2025-26 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Utah Valley has averaged 9.9 steals per game (356 steals/36 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Utah Valley has averaged 9.9 steals per game (356 steals/36 games) since the start of the 2025-26 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Utah Valley has averaged 9.9 steals per game (356 steals/36 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada allowed opponents to shoot 44% (897/2,039) last season — 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 45%

Nevada stole the ball 243 times last season — 3rd most among Mountain West Teams

Nevada has 258 steals since the start of the 2025-26 season — 5th fewest among Mountain West Teams

Nevada has averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (983 rebounds/39 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 24.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.