You can bet on NFL odds for the First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer in the Texans-Bills game this week.
Ahead of the Week 1 matchup on September 13, 2026 at Reliant Stadium, here’s a compilation of odds, trends, and data for the First TD and Anytime TD Scorer markets at BetMGM.
First TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Texans – Bills
Here are updated First TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):
| Player | First TD Odds | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| James Cook (BUF) | +475 | 17.4% |
| David Montgomery (HOU) | +575 | 14.8% |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +600 | 14.3% |
| Nico Collins (HOU) | +825 | 10.8% |
| D.J. Moore (BUF) | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Woody Marks (HOU) | +1150 | 8.0% |
| Dalton Kincaid (BUF) | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Dalton Schultz (HOU) | +1350 | 6.9% |
| Khalil Shakir (BUF) | +1450 | 6.5% |
| Kayshon Boutte (HOU) | +1800 | 5.3% |
| Dawson Knox (BUF) | +2200 | 4.3% |
| Xavier Hutchinson (HOU) | +2200 | 4.3% |
| Jaylin Noel (HOU) | +2200 | 4.3% |
| Keon Coleman (BUF) | +2500 | 3.8% |
| Josh Palmer (BUF) | +2800 | 3.4% |
| C.J. Stroud (HOU) | +2800 | 3.4% |
| Cade Stover (HOU) | +5500 | 1.8% |
Anytime TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Texans – Bills
Here are updated Anytime TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):
| Player | Anytime TD Odds | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| James Cook (BUF) | -111 | 52.6% |
| David Montgomery (HOU) | -105 | 51.3% |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +110 | 47.6% |
| Nico Collins (HOU) | +145 | 40.8% |
| D.J. Moore (BUF) | +200 | 33.3% |
| Woody Marks (HOU) | +230 | 30.3% |
| Dalton Kincaid (BUF) | +240 | 29.4% |
| Dalton Schultz (HOU) | +250 | 28.6% |
| Khalil Shakir (BUF) | +310 | 24.4% |
| Kayshon Boutte (HOU) | +375 | 21.1% |
| Xavier Hutchinson (HOU) | +475 | 17.4% |
| Dawson Knox (BUF) | +500 | 16.7% |
| Jaylin Noel (HOU) | +500 | 16.7% |
| Keon Coleman (BUF) | +575 | 14.8% |
| C.J. Stroud (HOU) | +625 | 13.8% |
| Josh Palmer (BUF) | +725 | 12.1% |
| Cade Stover (HOU) | +1700 | 5.6% |
Will James Cook Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 52.6% chance Cook scores a touchdown this week against the Texans.
Will David Montgomery Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 51.3% chance Montgomery scores a touchdown this week against the Bills.
Will Josh Allen Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 47.6% chance Allen scores a touchdown this week against the Texans.
Will Nico Collins Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 40.8% chance Collins scores a touchdown this week against the Bills.
Will D.J. Moore Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 33.3% chance Moore scores a touchdown this week against the Texans.
First TD Scorer Trends
- Nico Collins has scored the first touchdown 10 times since the beginning of the 2023 season – equal-most among active Texans players (including playoffs).
- James Cook has scored the first touchdown eight times since the beginning of the 2023 season – most among active Bills players (including playoffs).
- David Montgomery has scored the first touchdown 19 times in his career – most among active Texans players (including playoffs).
- Josh Allen has scored the first touchdown 17 times in his career – most among active Bills players (including playoffs).
- Dawson Knox has scored the first touchdown 13 times in his career – 2nd-most among active Bills players (including playoffs).
- D.J. Moore has scored the first touchdown eight times in his career – T3rd-most among active Bills players (including playoffs).
- Dalton Schultz has scored the first touchdown three times in his career – T3rd-most among active Texans players (including playoffs).
- Brevin Jordan has scored the first touchdown three times in his career – T3rd-most among active Texans players (including playoffs).
- James Cook scored the first touchdown on a 45-yard run in the Bills’ last outing against the Texans, a 23-19 loss.
First Touchdown Insights
- The Texans recorded the first touchdown in 10 of their 19 games last season (including playoffs).
- The Bills also recorded the first touchdown in 10 of their 19 games last season (including playoffs).
First TD trends
- The Texans have scored the first touchdown in five of their last seven games (including playoffs).
- The Bills have scored the first touchdown in two of their last three games (including playoffs).
- The Bills have scored the first touchdown in three of their last four games against the Texans (including playoffs).
Rushing/Receiving Splits
- The Texans scored 10 rushing TDs from their 19 games last season (including playoffs), while allowing 13 rushing TDs.
- The Texans allowed 26 passing TDs from their 19 games last season (including playoffs), while allowing 23 passing TDs.
- The Bills scored 32 rushing TDs from their 19 games last season (including playoffs), while allowing 24 rushing TDs.
- The Bills allowed 33 passing TDs from their 19 games last season (including playoffs), while allowing 25 passing TDs.
Visit the sportsbook to bet on all Texans odds and Bills odds throughout the season.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
