Eagles vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 5

• The Jaguars are +1.5 point favorites vs the Eagles
• Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
• Watch this game on NFLN | ESPD

The Philadelphia Eagles (2-2-0) visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-1-0) on Oct. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 am in London, England.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at +1.5 (-400).

The Eagles vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Eagles vs. Jaguars Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this game with 61.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Eagles vs Jaguars Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

• Jalen Hurts has hit the Carries Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.85 Units / 68% ROI)
• Saquon Barkley has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jake Elliott has hit the Field Goals Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• Saquon Barkley has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Saquon Barkley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Parker Washington has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• Parker Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• Parker Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• Trevor Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Trevor Lawrence has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.15 Units / 11% ROI)

Jaguars Best Bets:

• The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 0-4 (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).

• Eagles are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -9.77% ROI
• Eagles are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
• EaglesEaglesEagles are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 3-1 (+1.95 Units / 44.83% ROI).

• Jaguars are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 28.03% ROI
• Jaguars are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
• Jaguars are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Eagles are 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — 8th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have intercepted 28 passes since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .713.

The Eagles are 10-4 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2025 season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .498.

The Eagles are 3-3 (.500) when not forcing a turnover since the 2025 season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .271.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Jaguars are 12-1 (.923) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .586.

The Jaguars are undefeated (9-0) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

The Jaguars are 10-4 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .418.

The Jaguars are 13-3 (.812) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .578.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars have been successful on 47.1% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — T-best in NFL. The Eagles have pressured opposing QBs on just 15.1% of passing plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars have been successful on 75.0% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed a success rate of 53.8% on pass attempts with a light front this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars have been successful on 75.0% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Eagles have pressured opposing QBs on 7.7% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have scored on 10% of their drives in the first quarter this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 0% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — T-best in NFL.

The Eagles have been successful on just 21.4% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — worst in NFL. The Jaguars have pressured opposing QBs on 46.7% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — 4th-best in NFL.

Eagles WRs have averaged just 3.4 yards after the catch since the 2025 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed just 3.4 yards after catch per reception to WRs since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles have run successful plays on 26% of plays in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles have gone three and out 10 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 22% of plays on play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 23% of pass attempts in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats

The Jaguars have averaged 0.98 epa per play against open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.47.

The Jaguars have run successful plays on 24% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Jaguars have thrown the ball 8% of the time (1 Pass Attempts/13 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Jaguars have scored on 86% of their drives (6/7) in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 58% (396 completions/683 attempts) since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 21% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 44% of plays first read passes since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Eagles defense has allowed 7 rushing TDs in the red zone this season — T-most in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats

The Jaguars defense have allowed -1.63 epa per play with tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.45.

The Jaguars defense have allowed -0.32 epa per play in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.

The Jaguars defense has 6 interceptions this season — T-most in NFL.

The Jaguars defense has allowed 84.1 rushing yards per game (1,767/21) since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 116.8.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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