- The Packers are -4.5 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Green Bay Packers (0-1-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (1-0-0) on Sep. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (+100).
The Packers vs. Jets Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Packers | -4.5 +100 | 43.5 +100 | -190 |
| Jets | +4.5 -135 | 43.5 -135 | +155 |
Packers vs. Jets Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 53.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Packers vs Jets Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
- Jonnu Smith has hit the Longest Reception Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jonnu Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jonnu Smith has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Geno Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Mason Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jets vs Packers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall | -130 |
| MarShawn Lloyd | +110 |
| Christian Watson | +140 |
| Chris Brooks | +175 |
| Garrett Wilson | +175 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jets vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 63.5 -111 | 63.5 -118 |
| Christian Watson | 59.5 -115 | 59.5 -115 |
| Matthew Golden | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -115 |
| Tucker Kraft | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -115 |
| Jayden Reed | 35.5 -115 | 35.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jets vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 69.5 -111 | 69.5 -118 |
| MarShawn Lloyd | 51.5 -115 | 51.5 -115 |
| Chris Brooks | 25.5 -115 | 25.5 -115 |
| Braelon Allen | 23.5 -111 | 23.5 -120 |
| Jordan Love | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -111 |
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+5.02 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Packers are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Packers are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- PackersPackersPackers are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets are 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Jets are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 100% ROI
- Jets are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Jets are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
Packers are 7-3 (.700) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down (T-9th-best in NFL) and just .143 when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down since the 2025 season (4th-worst in NFL).
The Packers were 8-1-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns (T-9th-best in NFL) and just .143 when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season (6th-worst in NFL).
The Packers are 9-3-1 (.692) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2025 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Jets have averaged just 1.6 sacks per game over that time span — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Packers are 8-1-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns (9th-best in NFL) and just .125 when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2025 season (T-4th-worst in NFL).
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Jets are 1-8 (.111) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.
The Jets are winless (0-11) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .220.
The Jets are 4-14 (.222) since the 2025 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .498.
The Jets are 2-11 (.154) after a loss since the 2025 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. New York Jets
The Jets have been successful on just 42.2% of pass attempts with motion since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed a success rate of just 41.2% on pass attempts against motion since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Jets had a third down conversion rate of just 10.2% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Packers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 13.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Jets have a third down conversion rate of just 9.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Packers have run 52.0% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jets have allowed their opponents to run 52.6% of plays in their territory since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Packers were successful on 55.7% of plays they ran on play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jets allowed a success rate of 55.9% on play action passes last season — worst in NFL.
The Packers ran 52.4% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jets allowed their opponents to run53.1% of plays in their territory last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers averaged 6.1 yards per play against tight coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3.1.
The Packers converted late downs on 29 of 283 plays (10%) with 7-10 yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Packers faced a blitz 37 times in Week 1 — most in NFL.
The Packers have converted late downs on 30 of 307 plays (10%) with 7-10 yards to go since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets have averaged just 4.4 yards per play in the 1st half since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.
The Jets have started 35 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2025 season — fewest in NFL.
The Jets averaged just 4.0 yards per play on first drive of the game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Jets have averaged just 0.8 yards per play against a light rush since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.8.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
52% of the plays ran against the Packers were in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Packers defense has allowed scores on 19% of opponent drives (7/37) in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 17% on 3rd and long since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Packers defense allowed 4 TDs in the 2nd half in Week 1 — T-most in NFL.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense has allowed 11 touchdown receptions to RBs since the 2025 season — most in NFL.
The Jets defense have allowed 0.33 epa per play against play action passes since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.07.
The Jets defense do not have an interception in 18 games since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.7.
The Jets defense forced three and outs on 44% of opponent drives in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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