Raiders vs Broncos Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 17, 2022, 1:45 PM
  • The Broncos (3-6) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Raiders (2-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Las Vegas Raiders (3-7) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (3-7) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Denver.

The are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Raiders vs. Broncos Over/Under is total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Raiders
Broncos

Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this Week 11 game with 62.3% confidence.

Raiders vs Broncos Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread this Week 11 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raiders and Broncos, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Davante Adams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Brandon Bolden has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.05 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Mack Hollins has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+3.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Melvin Gordon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Carries Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders have gone 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -36.18% ROI).

  • Raiders are 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -55.59% ROI
  • Raiders are 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Raiders are 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / ROI

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Broncos are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -35.26% ROI
  • Broncos are 1-8 when betting the Over for -7.85 Units / -78.89% ROI
  • Broncos are 8-1 when betting the Under for +6.9 Units / 70.05% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Raiders are 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.

The Raiders are 1-3 (.250) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

The Raiders are 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.

The Raiders are winless (0-5) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .400.

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Broncos are 1-3 (.250) at home this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .559.

The Broncos are winless (0-3) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .207.

The Broncos are 1-4 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Broncos are winless (0-3) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos

Broncos RBs have 45.9 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Raiders have averaged 51.1 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs this season — worst in NFL.

Broncos RBs have averaged 8.7 targets per game this season — second-highest in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 6.1 receptions per game to RBs this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Broncos TEs have gained 182 yards on 14 receptions (13.0 YPR) since Week 7 — fifth-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs since Week 7 — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Raiders were successful on just 37.5% of plays they have run last week — fifth-worst in NFL. Broncos allowed their opponents to be successful on just 36.7% of plays in Week 10 — fourth-best in NFL.

The Raiders went three and out on 50% of their drives last week — worst in NFL. Broncos forced three and outs on 46.2% of opponent drives in Week 10 — second-best in NFL.

Raiders RBs have averaged 2.7 yards after contact per carry this season — best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 2.4 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — second-worst in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 47 of 98 plays (48%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Raiders converted first downs on just 36 of 73 plays (49%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Raiders went three and out on 50% of their drives in Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Raiders ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 1st quarter in Week 10 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Broncos have started 13 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Broncos have scored 3.0 points per Red Zone drive this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Broncos ran 15% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Broncos are averaging 27.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Raiders defense has averaged a sack every 31.9 pass attempts (319 Pass Attempts/10 Sacks) this season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.9.

The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 81% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Raiders defense has averaged 0.3 interceptions per game (9/26) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Raiders defense has allowed 5.1 TDs per interception (46 TDs allowed, and 9 INT) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Broncos defense has allowed just 4.9 yards per dropback (1,570 yards/320 attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.6.

The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 58% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Broncos’ opponents have averaged 53.3 Passing Attempts per TD (320 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season — best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 24.3.

The Broncos defense forced three and outs on 46% of opponent drives in Week 10 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.