- The Chargers are -7 point favorites vs the Raiders
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Las Vegas Raiders (1-0-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (0-1-0) on Sep. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Inglewood, CA.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-102).
The Raiders vs. Chargers Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
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Raiders vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Raiders | +7 -130 | 45 -145 | +240 |
| Chargers | -7 -102 | 45 +110 | -295 |
Raiders vs. Chargers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 67.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Raiders vs Chargers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
- Brock Bowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ashton Jeanty has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Mayer has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Michael Mayer has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Tre Harris has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ladd McConkey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Raiders
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton | -135 |
| Ashton Jeanty | -130 |
| Quentin Johnston | +165 |
| Ladd McConkey | +175 |
| Tre Harris | +195 |
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+4.30 Units / 143% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Raiders are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 60.61% ROI
- Raiders are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- RaidersRaidersRaiders are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Chargers are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -100% ROI
- Chargers are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Chargers are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Raiders are winless (0-11) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Raiders are 1-7 (.125) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .454.
The Raiders were winless (0-7) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .339.
The Raiders were 1-7 (.125) on the road last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .460.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Chargers were 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes in a game (10th-best in NFL) and just .333 when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season (T-9th-worst in NFL).
The Chargers were 10-2 (.833) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Raiders allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 31 s last season — highest in NFL.
The Chargers are 10-2 (.833) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2025 season — 8th-best in NFL. The Raiders has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 4 s since the 2025 season — highest in NFL.
The Chargers are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .718.
Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 45.8% last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 46.1% last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Chargers have been successful on 50.9% of pass attempts with motion since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed a success rate of 52.0% on pass attempts against motion since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 45.2% since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Raiders defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 45.0% since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Raiders ran just 39.5% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last season — worst in NFL. The Chargers allowed their opponents to runjust 44.1% of plays in their territory last season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Raiders ran 54.7% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last week — T-5th-best in NFL. The Chargers allowed their opponents to run56.5% of plays in their territory last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Raiders have run just 40.5% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Chargers have allowed their opponents to run just 44.9% of plays in their territory since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders have averaged -0.95 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.50.
The Raiders averaged -0.98 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.50.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 35% of rush attempts since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers ran 10% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Chargers ran 36% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Chargers have averaged -0.94 epa per play against a light rush since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.12.
The Chargers started 4 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2nd half in Week 1 — most in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense allowed successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in Week 1 — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Offenses facing the Raiders threw deep balls on 30% of pass attempts (8/27) in Week 1 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Raiders defense allowed successful plays on 20% of plays in the 2nd half in Week 1 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Raiders defense pressured opposing QBs on 67% of pass attempts in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense allowed a passer rating of just 11.5 on contested throws (51 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 68.2.
The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 12.0 on contested throws (57 Pass Attempts) since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 68.6.
The Chargers defense has allowed 0.9 TD passes per game (17/18) since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.
The Chargers defense allowed a passer rating of just 75.0 (505 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 91.4.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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