Rams vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 4

• The Rams are -2.5 point favorites vs the Eagles
• Total (Over/Under): 46 points
• Watch this game on FOX

The Los Angeles Rams (1-2-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (2-1-0) on Oct. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-135).

The Rams vs. Eagles Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Rams vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 54.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Rams vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

• Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Puka Nacua has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)
• Blake Corum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• Davis Allen has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 65% ROI)
• Matthew Stafford has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Jalen Hurts has hit the Carries Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.85 Units / 69% ROI)
• Jake Elliott has hit the Field Goals Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
• Saquon Barkley has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jalen Hurts has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Rams

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Rams

Rams Best Bets:

• The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.05 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• Rams are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -34.45% ROI
• Rams are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
• RamsRamsRams are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 0-3 (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).

• Eagles are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 1.95% ROI
• Eagles are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
• Eagles are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

Rams are 12-4 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush (T-5th-best in NFL) and just .250 when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2025 season (10th-worst in NFL).

The Rams are 8-1 (.889) at home since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .544.

The Rams are 11-6 (.647) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2025 season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .508.

The Rams are 12-4 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2025 season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .525.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Eagles are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .672.

The Eagles are 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 22 points since the 2025 season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .776.

The Eagles are 12-2 (.857) when not throwing an interception since the 2025 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .658.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .708.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have been successful on just 30.0% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed a success rate of just 42.9% on pass attempts on play action passes this season — 5th-best in NFL.

Eagles TEs have just 40.4 receiving yards per game since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed an average ofjust 42.4 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL.

Eagles RBs have averaged just 4.2 targets per game since the 2025 season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Rams have allowed 4.8 receptions per game to RBs since the 2025 season — T-4th-highest in NFL.

The Rams have gone three and out on 0% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — T-best in NFL. The Eagles have forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — T-worst in NFL.

Rams RBs have 16 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2025 season — T-4th-most in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 24 rushing TDs since the 2025 season — T-4th-most in NFL.

Rams TEs have averaged 9.2 targets per game since the 2025 season — T-3rd-highest in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 3.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2025 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams have 85 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Rams have run successful plays on 52% of plays on motion plays since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Rams have thrown for 52 TDs since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Rams have thrown 2.6 TD passes per game (52/20) since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles have run successful plays on 23% of plays on play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 15% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles have averaged 9.7 yards per play on contested throws since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

The Eagles have gone three and out on 50% of their drives in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense have allowed -0.22 epa per play in the 1st half this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Rams defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (13 completions/30 attempts) on 1st down this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 66%.

The Rams defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of rush attempts on motion plays since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Rams defense has tackled opponents for a loss on just 27 of 507 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

26% of the plays run against the Eagles have been in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 70.6 on motion plays (27 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 100.4.

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 30% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Eagles defense missed 15 tackles in Week 3 — most in NFL.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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