Titans vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 4

(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
Betting Promos This Weekend
  • The Ravens are -11.5 point favorites vs the Titans
  • Total (Over/Under): 43 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Tennessee Titans (0-3-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (2-1-0) on Oct. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Baltimore, MD.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-108).

The Titans vs. Ravens Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.

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Titans vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans+11.5 -11043 -108+500
Ravens -11.5 -10843 -125-650

Titans vs. Ravens Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Titans vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 66.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Michael Carter has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tyjae Spears has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.15 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.66 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Justice Hill has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Titans

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Derrick Henry +275
Zay Flowers +675
Mark Andrews +800
Tony Pollard +900
Rashod Bateman +1100

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Titans

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Derrick Henry -220
Zay Flowers +140
Mark Andrews +165
Tony Pollard +165
Lamar Jackson +240

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Titans

Player Name Over Under
Zay Flowers 69.5 -115 69.5 -115
Carnell Tate 44.5 -115 44.5 -115
Mark Andrews 41.5 -111 41.5 -118
Wan'Dale Robinson 37.5 -111 37.5 -118
Rashod Bateman 35.5 -115 35.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Titans

Player Name Over Under
Derrick Henry 96.5 -115 96.5 -115
Tony Pollard 47.5 -115 47.5 -115
Lamar Jackson 32.5 -115 32.5 -115
Tyjae Spears 15.5 -120 15.5 -110
Cam Ward 11.5 -115 11.5 -115
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+6.14 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.72 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Titans are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Titans are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • TitansTitansTitans are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 1-2 (-1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI).

  • Ravens are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -27.4% ROI
  • Ravens are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Ravens are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Titans are 1-11 (.083) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.

The Titans are winless (0-12) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .375.

The Titans are 2-16 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .470.

The Titans are 1-12 (.077) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .383.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

Ravens are 6-3 (.667) on the road (T-4th-best in NFL) and just .300 at home since the 2025 season (T-4th-worst in NFL).

Ravens are 3-7 (.300) at home (T-4th-worst in NFL) and .667 on the road since the 2025 season (T-4th-best in NFL).

The Ravens are 9-1 (.900) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .657.

The Ravens are undefeated (7-0) when not committing any turnovers since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .728.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have run 54.3% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed their opponents to run 58.2% of plays in their territory this season — worst in NFL.

The Ravens have been successful on 61.4% of pass attempts with motion this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Titans have pressured opposing QBs on 14.7% of pass attempts against motion this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Ravens have gone three and out on 22.2% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Titans have forced three and outs on 22.2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — T-5th-best in NFL.

Titans RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 12.7% of 55 carries this season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 10+ yards on 14.5% of carries to RBs this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 29.6% against the blitz since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 28.4% when blitzing since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans have run successful plays on 16% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Titans have gone three and out 5 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Titans have gone three and out on 71% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Titans ran successful plays on 8% of pass attempts in the 1st half in Week 3 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 5 times this season — T-most in NFL.

The Ravens have averaged 7.1 yards per play on the road since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Ravens have averaged 10.2 yards per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 30 times since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays first read passes in Week 3 — best in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Titans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 on 3rd and short (0 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 103.9.

The Titans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 50.3 in the red zone (7 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 99.3.

The Titans defense has not had an opponent attempt a pass on 6 plays on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 53% on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

The Ravens defense has allowed a passer rating of just 99.2 open coverage (40 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 127.4.

The Ravens defense has allowed first downs on 62% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Ravens defense has allowed first downs on 53% of plays on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.