Vikings vs Buccaneers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

• The Vikings are -2.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
• Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
• Watch this game on FOX

The Minnesota Vikings (2-0-0) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-2-0) on Sep. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Tampa, FL.

The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Vikings vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Vikings vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Vikings vs. Buccaneers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 56.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Vikings vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today

• Jauan Jennings has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jordan Addison has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jordan Mason has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
• Jordan Mason has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+3.95 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.05 Units / 60% ROI)
• Kenneth Gainwell has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Sean Tucker has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
• Chase McLaughlin has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• Kenneth Gainwell has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Vikings Best Bets:

• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.84 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.35 Units / 19% ROI)

Buccaneers Best Bets:

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.10 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.95 Units / 31% ROI)

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Vikings are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 116.67% ROI
• Vikings are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• VikingsVikingsVikings are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers are 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

• Buccaneers are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -100% ROI
• Buccaneers are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Buccaneers are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Vikings are undefeated (8-0) when leading at the end of the third quarter since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .838.

The Vikings were undefeated (7-0) when leading at the end of the third quarter last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .839.

The Vikings are 8-4 (.667) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2025 season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .573.

The Vikings are undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .660.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Buccaneers are 1-9 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.

The Buccaneers are winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .158.

The Buccaneers were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .157.

The Buccaneers were winless (0-8) whe trailing at the end of the first half last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .236.

Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers have been successful on just 42.4% of pass attempts since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed a success rate of just 42.4% on pass attempts since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Buccaneers have been successful on just 21.7% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have pressured opposing QBs on 33.6% of passing plays since the 2025 season — best in NFL.

Buccaneers QBs have been 7 sacked times this season — T-3rd-most in NFL. The Vikings have sacked the quarterback 8 times this season — T-most in NFL.

The Vikings are averaging just 2.0 yards per carry on 3rd and short since the 2025 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed just 2.7 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats

The Vikings converted first downs on just 21 of 50 plays (42%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 23 of 56 plays (41%) on 3rd and short since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Vikings have averaged 0.16 epa per play against open coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.39.

The Vikings have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 89% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 36% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Buccaneers have run 9% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Buccaneers have committed 5 turnovers this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats

The Vikings defense has blitzed on 27% of plays this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 8%.

The Vikings defense blitzed on 23% of plays last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Vikings defense has blitzed 37 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Vikings defense has blitzed on 23% of plays on 1st down this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats

The Buccaneers defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of rush attempts with a stacked front since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 18.3 when blitzing (10 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 87.8.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed 49.3 receiving yards per game (937/19) to RBs since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 30.8.

The Buccaneers defense have allowed just 1.8 yards per play with tight coverage since the 2025 season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 3.1.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Buccaneers vs Vikings and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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