Vikings vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

• The Lions are -3 point favorites vs the Vikings
• Total (Over/Under): 46 points
• Watch this game on FOX

The Minnesota Vikings (6-0-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (4-2-0) on Nov. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Detroit, MI.

The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-130).

The Vikings vs. Lions Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

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Vikings vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Vikings vs. Lions Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 59.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Vikings vs Lions Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today

• Justin Jefferson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
• Will Reichard has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jordan Addison has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• Justin Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Jared Goff has hit the Passing Yards Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jameson Williams has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jared Goff has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jared Goff has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Vikings

Vikings Best Bets:

• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+10.20 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Lions Best Bets:

• The Detroit Lions have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Detroit Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Detroit Lions have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Detroit Lions have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.70 Units / 14% ROI)

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• Vikings are 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.8 Units / 50.94% ROI
• Vikings are 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
• VikingsVikingsVikings are 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions are 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -51.52% ROI).

• Lions are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 5.76% ROI
• Lions are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
• Lions are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) after a win this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .488.

The Vikings are undefeated (5-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .597.

The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .488.

The Vikings are undefeated (3-0) on the road this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .490.

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Lions are 12-3 (.800) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2025 season — T-6th-best in NFL. The Vikings have turned the ball over 33 times since the 2025 season — T-5th-most in NFL.

Lions are 13-1 (.929) when rushing for 100 or more yards (best in NFL) and just .000 when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2025 season (T-worst in NFL).

Lions are 12-4 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush (T-4th-best in NFL) and just .143 when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2025 season (T-3rd-worst in NFL).

The Lions are undefeated (4-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .597.

Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions

The Lions have a third down conversion rate of just 10.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 8.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — T-4th-best in NFL.

The Lions were successful on 59.1% of pass attempts with motion last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Vikings allowed a success rate of 60.0% on pass attempts against motion last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

Lions RBs have averaged 7.5 targets per game this season — 5th-highest in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just 3.2 receptions per game to RBs this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL.

The Vikings were successful on just 31.0% of plays they ran with motion last week — 4th-worst in NFL. The Lions allowed a success rate of just 28.6% against motion last week — T-best in NFL.

Vikings RBs have averaged just 1.5 yards after contact per carry this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Lions have allowed just 1.5 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — T-5th-best in NFL.

Vikings WRs have averaged just 13.2 targets per game this season — lowest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 14.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — highest in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 33 of 70 plays (47%) on 3rd and short since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Vikings have run 5% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Vikings have averaged 0.16 epa per play against open coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.40.

The Vikings ran 67% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in Week 7 — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats

The Lions have run 30% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Lions have averaged 14.3 yards per play against open coverage since Week 4 — best in NFL; League Avg: 9.1.

The Lions have averaged 0.67 epa per play against open coverage this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.42.

The Lions have run successful plays on 60% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats

The Vikings defense has blitzed on 26% of plays since the 2025 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Vikings defense has allowed scores on 23% of opponent drives (15/65) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Only 37% of the plays run against the Vikings have been in their own territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Vikings defense have allowed just 1.2 yards per play with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.3.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats

The Lions defense has allowed an average of 29.4 fantasy points per game to TEs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13.9.

The Lions defense has allowed successful plays on 69% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Lions defense has allowed 313.5 receiving yards per game (1,881/6) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 235.2.

The Lions defense have allowed 2 broken tackles this season — fewest in NFL.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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