- The Stars are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Bruins
- Bruins vs. Stars Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Boston Bruins (7-2-0) visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars (4-3-1) on Oct. 20 in Dallas, TX. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The Stars are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Bruins vs. Stars Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Bruins vs. Stars Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Bruins | +1.5 -175 | 5.5 -102 | +140 |
| Stars | -1.5 +145 | 5.5 -118 | -170 |
Bruins vs Stars Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Stars will win this game with 60.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Bruins vs Stars Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bruins will cover the spread with 62.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 20 away games (+15.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 73% ROI)
Stars Best Bets & Trends
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+3.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have covered the 3P Puck Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 7-2 against the spread this NHL season (+7.25 Units / 49.15% ROI).
- Bruins are 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units /53.73% ROI
- Bruins are 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -17.48% ROI
- Bruins are 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.75 Units /7.73% ROI
Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stars are 4-4 against the spread this NHL season (+1.55 Units /17.42% ROI).
- Stars are 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -14.11% ROI
- Stars are 0-8 when betting the Over for -8.7 Units / -100% ROI
- Stars are 8-0 when betting the Under for +8 Units / 89.89% ROI
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Stars
The Bruins are 5-2 (.714) this season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 1-59 (.017) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .132
The Bruins are winless (0-27) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2025-26 season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .130
The Bruins are 48-38 (.558) since the start of the 2025-26 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2025-26 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .532
The Stars were 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .526
The Stars are 99-65 (.604) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars were 47-31 (.603) last season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins have scored on 24% of second chance opportunities in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins have scored on 28% of second chance opportunities in the third period since the start of the 2025-26 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14%
The Bruins have scored on 22% of rush chances on the power play since the start of the 2025-26 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Stars Offensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have 9 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 4 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2025-26 season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Stars scored on 22% of second chance opportunities in the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Stars have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage in the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Bruins had a .760 slot save percentage in the third period in the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .818
The Bruins allowed 13 goals while their opponent is shorthanded in the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Stars Defensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have a .935 save percentage this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .889
The Stars have allowed 1.6 goals per game in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2025-26 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Stars have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the first period since the start of the 2025-26 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Stars allowed 0.5 goals per game against the power play in the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6
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