Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Liverpool will try to bounce back from a fluky home draw as road favorites against Bournemouth. 

Arne Slot’s side drew 1-1 against Burnley on Matchday 22. The result marked a fourth straight league draw for Liverpool, which beat Bournemouth 4-2 in the reverse fixture. 

Bournemouth faces a Monday trip to Brighton seeking a second straight win. At home, the Cherries have dropped points in four of their previous five matches. 

Check out the Premier League odds and my Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction. 

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Premier League Odds

Liverpool vs Bournemouth: Prediction

Based on Liverpool’s attacking success and Bournemouth’s recent defensive struggles, my Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction is Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals (-150). 

Venue has not mattered for Bournemouth in terms of recent defensive metrics. 

Excluding Monday’s trip to Brighton, Andoni Iraola’s side has surrendered multiple goals in five of its last six league fixtures. 

The lone success? As heavy home favorites against Burnley, one of the worst attacks in the league. 

In Bournemouth’s last home match, the defense allowed two goals off 1.8 post-shot xG to Tottenham. Over the entire season, Liverpool offers a stiffer attack than Tottenham. 

When Bournemouth traveled to Anfield on Matchday 1, the defense surrendered four goals off 2.2 expected goals and three post-shot xG. 

That output is indicative of Liverpool’s success against Bournemouth. Over the last three matches against Bournemouth, Liverpool is 3-0 to the over while averaging 3.07 psxG per 90. 

That helps create a buy-low spot for the visitors. Slot’s side scored only once against Burnley, but metrics rated the outcome wildly misleading. 

Liverpool missed a penalty and scored once off 3.2 xG against Burnley. By post-shot xG, Liverpool created 2.17 against the Clarets. 

Given those factors, I predict the Liverpool attack continues its success against the Cherries.