- Crystal Palace is predicted to be a 0.5-goal home favorite against Fulham.
- Crystal Palace has won three straight against Fulham in all competitions.
- My Crystal Palace vs Fulham prediction is the Crystal Palace Moneyline (+110).
Marco Silva’s Fulham will try for a third straight league win on Thursday at Crystal Palace.
Fulham took all three points in a 1-0 road win against West Ham on Saturday. The win lifted Fulham up to 10th in the league table after a second straight win.
Now, they’ll try for revenge against a Palace side that beat Fulham a few weeks ago. At Craven Cottage, Fulham fell 2-1 to Oliver Glasner’s side as a short home favorite.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Crystal Palace vs Fulham prediction.
Crystal Palace vs Fulham: Premier League Odds
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: Prediction
Based on Palace’s previous success against Fulham and their potential positive regression at home, my Crystal Palace vs Fulham prediction is the Crystal Palace Moneyline (+110).
It’s time to sell all aspects of Fulham’s two-match winning streak.
Silva’s team beat Nottingham Forest 1-0 at home. However, they managed only one shot on target (a penalty kick).
Then they beat West Ham 1-0, but 0.9 of their 1.36 post-shot xG came on one shot. I also don’t think the defense, sans Calvin Bassey, is as good as their 0.28 cumulative total in those fixtures.
When these teams met on December 7, Fulham fell 2-1. Palace won the match 1.65-0.76 on expected goals and 2.07-1.35 on post-shot xG, per fotmob.com.
Now, Fulham faces a back-to-back road spot on short rest against a Palace team playing back-to-back home fixtures.
Worth noting: home favorites with 3-4 days between games against a previous favorite are 44-19 since 2012, assuming it’s a back-to-back home spot for the favorites.
Plus, Palace remains a massive positive regression candidate at home. Excluding Sunday’s fixture vs. Tottenham, Palace owns a -1 goal differential vs. a +6.4 xGDiff at Selhurst Park.
That +0.8 xGDiff per 90 at home places the Eagles fourth in the Premier League.
This match offers a great chance for improvement. Fulham, away from home, has a -0.51 xGDiff per 90.
Given those factors, I predict the hosts take all three points to begin 2026.
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