Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

After a trip to Manchester City on Sunday, Chelsea returns to London for a meeting with Fulham. 

Now, without a full-time manager after Enzo Maresca’s departure, Chelsea looks to continue its success against Fulham. Earlier this season, the Blues won 2-0 at home. 

That win gave Chelsea a fourth win in its last five league meetings with Marco Silva’s side. However, Fulham and Chelsea have the same number of wins through 19 matches. 

Check out the Premier League odds and my Fulham vs Chelsea prediction. 

Fulham vs Chelsea: Premier League Odds

Chelsea vs Fulham: Prediction

Based on the short rest spot for both teams and Chelsea’s eventful road matches, my Fulham vs Chelsea prediction is the Total Over 2.5 Goals (-135). 

Chelsea road fixtures are averaging over three expected goals per 90 minutes. Excluding Sunday’s trip to Man City, six of Chelsea’s first nine road matches cleared 2.5 goals. 

More concerning are Chelsea’s recent defensive struggles. From Matchday 14 to 19, the Blues kept only two clean sheets, with the other four opponents clearing 1.5 goals. 

That includes a trip to Leeds United. With a rotated defense, Chelsea conceded three times off 2.3 expected goals and 2.1 post-shot xG. 

Now they take on Fulham, which plays in a back-to-back home spot. Additionally, the Fulham attack showed itself well as a home underdog recently. 

As a dog to Man City – a superior defense to Chelsea – Silva’s attack scored four times. The output proved a bit lucky off 0.9 xG and 1.9 post-shot xG, but it remains a strong output. 

Additionally, we’ve seen Fulham do well against Chelsea on short rest. Three meetings ago, Silva took Fulham to Stamford Bridge and created 2.76 post-shot xG. 

Lastly, recent matches featuring a home dog have performed well toward the over. 

Since 2022, fixtures with a home dog and a 2.5-goal total are 82-43 to the over, assuming the road team’s average goals falls between 1.2 and 1.7. 

With Fulham as the home team: 11-3 to the over. With Chelsea as the road team: 12-4 to the over.