Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Bottom-feeders Tottenham will try to end a 10-match winless run on Thursday against Crystal Palace. 

Spurs’ disaster run continued at Fulham on Sunday in a 2-1 loss. Currently, interim manager Igor Tudor leads a Tottenham side sitting only four points above 18th. 

Crystal Palace started well at Manchester United on Sunday, taking the lead inside 10 minutes. However, a second-half Palace red card allowed United to storm back and win 2-1. 

Check out the Premier League odds and my Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction. 

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: Premier League Odds

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham: Prediction

Based on Tottenham’s poor defensive record and Palace’s potential positive regression, my Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction is Crystal Palace Draw, No Bet (+110). 

Since losing Cristian Romero, Tottenham are shipping chances defensively. 

Newcastle, a wildly inconsistent attack, reached 1.8 xG inside the first 45 minutes at Tottenham. On Sunday, Fulham – another up-and-down attack – reached one xG in the first half. 

I point that out to illustrate that, effectively, Palace needs to score first to (virtually) guarantee a point. 

Tottenham are 0-6-13 (W-D-L) from losing positions this season. Conversely, Tottenham recorded a 7-3-2 (W-D-L) record from leading positions this season. 

Palace took points 11 times from 16 leads this season. It’s a slight concern that three of those five losses have come since January, but Tottenham’s trailing record quells my concern. 

Another encouraging sign with Crystal Palace? When the defense shows up, it generally correlates with the team earning a result. Right now, I don’t fear Tottenham’s attack. 

Only twice all year has Palace surrendered under 1.5 goals and failed to win points.

Again, it’s a touch concerning that one failure came at home against Tottenham, but the other failure came at league leaders Arsenal. 

Further, Palace enters Thursday’s match a massive positive regression candidate. Through 28 fixtures, the Eagles own a -4 goal differential against a +4 expected goal differential. 

Regression could arrive against Tottenham, which posted a -5 goal differential against a -10 expected goal differential. 

Based on those factors, I predict Palace earn at least a point on Thursday in London.