Duke vs Miami Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

• The Miami (FL) Hurricanes are a -14 point favorite vs. the Duke Blue Devils
• Duke vs. Miami Florida Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
• TV Channel: ABC

Duke (7-2) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on Miami Florida (8-1) on Nov. 14 in Miami, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -14 (-102).

The Duke vs. Miami Florida Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

Bet now on Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Duke Blue Devils & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Duke vs. Miami Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Duke vs Miami Florida Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Miami (FL) will win this game with 83.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Duke Blue Devils and the Miami (FL) Hurricanes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Duke vs Miami Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 68.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Duke Blue Devils and all games with BetMGM

Duke Best Bets Today

• Duke has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Duke have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.58 Units / 30% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.10 Units / 0% ROI)

Miami Florida Best Bets Today

• Miami has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 11% ROI)
• Miami has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 62% ROI)
• Miami has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 1% ROI)
• Miami has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.00 Units / 2% ROI)
• Miami have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)

Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Duke Blue Devils is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.78 Units / 48.09% ROI).

• Duke is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 20.32% ROI
• Duke is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.47% ROI
• Duke is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.67 Units / 26.89% ROI

Miami Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (FL) Hurricanes is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

• Miami Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
• Miami Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
• Miami Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Florida

Duke was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632

Duke is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .707

Duke is 14-4 (.778) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .587

Duke is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2024 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .625

Miami Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Duke

Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Miami (FL) is 12-1 (.923) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .527

Miami (FL) is 21-2 (.913) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .640

Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Matchup Notes for Duke vs. Miami Florida

Miami (FL)’s WRs averaged 22.9 targets per game last season — T-34th-highest among FBS WRs. Duke’s defense allowed 15.0 receptions per game to WRs last season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs has 668 receptions in 38 games (17.6 per game) since the 2024 season — best among ACC WRs. Duke’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs had 202.4 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. Duke’s defense allowed 276.8 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

Duke’s TEs gained 677 yards on 57 receptions (11.9 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Duke’s QBs threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 204.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Duke’s offense threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 204.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends

Duke’s TEs gained 677 yards on 57 receptions (11.9 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Duke TEs have been targeted 19 times in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Duke RBs have averaged 108.4 rushing yards per game (976/9) in the 1st half this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 60.9

Duke’s QBs threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 204.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Duke have been sacked 4 times on 278 pass attempts (one sack every 69.5 pass attempts) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 15.3

Miami Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) have thrown for 20 TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

Miami (FL) Skill Players had 20 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) WRs have caught 17 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams

Miami (FL) WRs have caught 17 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) QBs had 76 completions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends

The Duke defense has allowed scores on 10% of opponent drives (6/63) in the 2nd half this season– best in FBS; Average: 23%

The Duke defense has allowed scores on 11% of opponent drives (4/35) in the 4th quarter this season– best in FBS; Average: 24%

Duke has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Duke has intercepted 2 of 259 attempts (129.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 40.6

The Duke defense allowed scores on 8% of opponent drives (1/13) last week– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 26%

Miami Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 13.7

Miami (FL) did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) last week– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

The Miami (FL) defense has allowed scores on 16% of opponent drives (30/186) in the 1st half since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24%

Miami (FL) has allowed 26.1 carries per game (235 carries / 9 games) this season– lowest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.1

Miami (FL) has at least one sack in each of their last 27 games — the Texas Tech Red Raiders have the longest active Power 5 streak at 28.

Bet now on Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Duke Blue Devils and all games with BetMGM

More College Football Betting at BetMGM

College football betting is available at the online sportsbook throughout the season.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Indiana football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State odds this week, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!