- The Wisconsin Badgers are a -7.5 point favorite vs. the Maryland Terrapins
- Wisconsin vs. Maryland Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
Wisconsin (6-3) visit SECU Stadium to take on Maryland (3-6) on Nov. 14 in College Park, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The Wisconsin Badgers are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-125).
The Wisconsin vs. Maryland Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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Wisconsin vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Wisconsin | -7.5 -125 | 43.5 -110 | -325 |
| Maryland | +7.5 -105 | 43.5 -108 | +260 |
Wisconsin vs Maryland Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wisconsin Badgers and the Maryland Terrapins, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Wisconsin vs Maryland Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Wisconsin Best Bets Today
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Wisconsin have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+0.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Maryland Best Bets Today
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games at home (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin Badgers is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.07% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 10.39% ROI
- Wisconsin is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.65 Units / -36.5% ROI
- Wisconsin is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.75 Units / 28.06% ROI
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland Terrapins is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.32 Units / -3.24% ROI).
- Maryland is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -29.26% ROI
- Maryland is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.68% ROI
- Maryland is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.74 Units / -57.75% ROI
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wisconsin is winless (0-9) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .505
Wisconsin is undefeated (6-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .642
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Maryland is winless (0-5) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Maryland is winless (0-5) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .524
Maryland is 1-7 (.125) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .502
Maryland is 5-10 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .595
Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Maryland
Maryland’s RBs averaged 7.6 targets per game last season — 3rd-highest among FBS RBs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Power 5 WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin’s QBs threw for 1,613 passing yards in 12 games (just 134.4 YPG) last season — 7th-worst among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense allowed 226.5 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin’s offense threw for 1,637 passing yards in 12 games (just 136.4 YPG) last season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 226.5 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs gained 561 yards on 48 receptions (11.7 YPR) last season — 5th-best among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense allowed 11.2 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Wisconsin TEs have averaged 23.4 yards per reception (211 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1
Wisconsin Skill Players averaged 21.5 yards per reception (86 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.5
Wisconsin Skill Players have been targeted 22.7 times per game (476/21) since the 2024 season– lowest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4
Wisconsin Skill Players averaged 18.8 yards per reception (245 yards/13 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.9
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland completed passes for 40+ yards on 2 of their 18 total passing attempts (11%) last week– T-6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%
Maryland WRs averaged a touchdown every 3.7 receptions (11 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 1.8
Maryland gained 40+ yards on 2 of their 13 receptions (15%) last week– 7th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
Maryland’s RBs averaged 7.6 targets per game last season — 3rd-highest among FBS RBs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (278 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 15.9
Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (15 completions/34 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Wisconsin opponents has averaged 6.2 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.9
Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 30 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%.
Maryland forced 2 fumbles on 479 carries (239.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 47.5
Maryland sacked opponents 7 times last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Maryland forced 2 fumbles on 479 carries (239.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 47.1
Maryland did not record a sack (49 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
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