East Carolina vs Old Dominion Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Old Dominion coach Ricky Rahne reacts after being doused, next to defensive tackle Denzel Lowry (45) after the team's win over Virginia Tech in an NCAA college football game Friday, Sept. 2, 2022, in Norfolk, Va. (AP Photo/Mike Caudill)
(AP Photo/Mike Caudill)
Week 8 Odds Boost
  • The Old Dominion Monarchs are a -3 point favorite vs. the East Carolina Pirates
  • East Carolina vs. Old Dominion Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

East Carolina (0-2) visit Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium to take on Old Dominion (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Norfolk, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm.

The Old Dominion Monarchs are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3 (-102).

The East Carolina vs. Old Dominion Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

Bet now on Old Dominion Monarchs vs East Carolina Pirates & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

East Carolina vs. Old Dominion Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina+3 -11848.5 -110+120
Old Dominion -3 -10248.5 -108-145

East Carolina vs Old Dominion Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Old Dominion will win this game with 53.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the East Carolina Pirates and the Old Dominion Monarchs, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

East Carolina vs Old Dominion Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Old Dominion will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Old Dominion Monarchs vs East Carolina Pirates and all games with BetMGM


  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.15 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina Pirates is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -100% ROI
  • East Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • East Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Old Dominion Monarchs is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.22 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Old Dominion is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.12 Units / -5.41% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.59% ROI

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion

East Carolina was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

East Carolina was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

East Carolina was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632

East Carolina was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

Old Dominion was 1-4 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Old Dominion was 4-1 (.800) when not losing a fumble last season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Old Dominion was 2-7 (.222) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Old Dominion was 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. Old Dominion

Old Dominion’s WRs gained 2,368 yards on 148 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 11.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s WRs gained 2,368 yards on 148 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s RBs averaged 12.3 yards after the catch last season — 4th-best among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 9.2 RAC last season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

East Carolina’s offense threw for 3,545 passing yards in 13 games (272.7 YPG) last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 191.5 passing yards per game last season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina gained 3,489 yards on 278 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 191.5 passing yards per game last season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina’s offense threw for 3,545 passing yards in 13 games (272.7 YPG) last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 191.5 passing yards per game last season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina RBs averaged 23.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (258 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2

East Carolina gained 3,489 yards on 278 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 191.5 passing yards per game last season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina gained 3,489 yards on 278 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion’s WRs gained 2,368 yards on 148 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 11.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s WRs gained 2,368 yards on 148 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion QBs fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Old Dominion’s RBs averaged 12.3 yards after the catch last season — 4th-best among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 9.2 RAC last season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Old Dominion QBs fumbled 12 times last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 435 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 435 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina allowed 8 rushing TDs on 70 carries (8.8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5

East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 70 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 70 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Old Dominion Defensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.2

Old Dominion allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 373 attempts (4%) last season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Old Dominion allowed 12 rushing TDs on 103 carries (8.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 4.7

Old Dominion tackled opponents for a loss on 85 of 496 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) last season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Old Dominion sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (39/407) last season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 7%


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