Eastern Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Wisconsin head coach Luke Fickell reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Northwestern Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Madison, Wis. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • The Wisconsin Badgers are a -24 point favorite vs. the Eastern Michigan Eagles
  • Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • TV Channel: PEAC

Eastern Michigan (1-2) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on Wisconsin (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Madison, WI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:30 pm.

The Wisconsin Badgers are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -24 (-110).

The Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

Bet now on Wisconsin Badgers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eastern Michigan+24 -11045.5 -115+1400
Wisconsin -24 -11045.5 -105-2500

Eastern Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Eastern Michigan Eagles and the Wisconsin Badgers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Eastern Michigan vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Eastern Michigan will cover the spread with 63.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Wisconsin Badgers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles and all games with BetMGM


  • Eastern Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Eastern Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Eastern Michigan Eagles is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Eastern Michigan is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -20.91% ROI
  • Eastern Michigan is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • Eastern Michigan is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin Badgers is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Wisconsin is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Eastern Michigan was 2-7 (.222) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Eastern Michigan was 2-5 (.286) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Eastern Michigan was 1-4 (.200) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Eastern Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan

Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Wisconsin was 3-1 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Wisconsin was 2-4 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Matchup Notes for Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin’s QBs threw for 1,613 passing yards in 12 games (just 134.4 YPG) last season — 7th-worst among FBS teams. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 184.2 passing yards per game last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin’s TEs gained 561 yards on 48 receptions (11.7 YPR) last season — 5th-best among Big Ten TEs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin’s WRs had just 83.4 receiving yards per game last season — 8th-worst among FBS WRs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 184.2 receiving yards per game last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs averaged 6.0 targets per game last season — T-20th-highest among FBS RBs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs has averaged 5.9 targets per game since the 2024 season — T-19th-highest among FBS RBs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 4.3 receptions per game to RBs since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs had 43.1 receiving yards per game last season — 11th-best among FBS RBs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 29.8 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan’s RBs averaged 6.0 targets per game last season — T-20th-highest among FBS RBs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan were sacked 2 times on 104 pass attempts (one sack every 52.0 pass attempts) on 3rd down last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10.9

Eastern Michigan Skill Players averaged 21.5 yards per reception (559 yards/26 catches) in close and late situations last season– T-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

Eastern Michigan were sacked just once on 99 pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 13.7

Eastern Michigan had no touchdowns on 16 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 9.8

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin WRs averaged a touchdown every 22.5 receptions (90 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.9

Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Wisconsin Skill Players averaged 21.5 yards per reception (86 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.5

Wisconsin Skill Players averaged just 13.1 receptions per game (157/12) last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 18.8

Wisconsin’s QBs threw for 1,613 passing yards in 12 games (just 134.4 YPG) last season — 7th-worst among FBS teams. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 184.2 passing yards per game last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan did not record a sack (24 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Eastern Michigan forced 4 fumbles on 505 carries (126.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 47.1

Eastern Michigan forced 4 fumbles on 505 carries (126.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 48.1

Eastern Michigan allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (17 completions/24 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Eastern Michigan has sacked opposing QBs just once on 71 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3

Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 428 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 36.1

Wisconsin tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 35 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Wisconsin tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 428 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Wisconsin did not record a sack (24 pass attempts) last week– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.7


Bet now on Wisconsin Badgers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles and all games with BetMGM


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