- The Georgia Bulldogs are a -10.5 point favorite vs. the Florida Gators
- Florida vs. Georgia Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
Florida (5-2) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on Georgia (6-1) on Oct. 31 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Georgia Bulldogs are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-125).
The Florida vs. Georgia Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Florida vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida | +10.5 -105 | 56.5 -120 | +350 |
| Georgia | -10.5 -125 | 56.5 -108 | -450 |
Florida vs Georgia Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 69.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Florida Gators and the Georgia Bulldogs, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Florida vs Georgia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Florida Best Bets Today
- Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.48 Units / 39% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 1% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.84 Units / 14% ROI)
Georgia Best Bets Today
- Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.35 Units / 1% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Georgia have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida Gators is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.07% ROI).
- Florida is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.26% ROI
- Florida is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.03% ROI
- Florida is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.35 Units / -17.65% ROI
Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia Bulldogs is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.51% ROI).
- Georgia is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -11.38% ROI
- Georgia is 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 62.98% ROI
- Georgia is 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.52 Units / -72.44% ROI
Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia
Florida is 3-9 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .434
Florida is 3-7 (.300) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .525
Florida is 3-7 (.300) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .473
Florida is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532
Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Florida
Georgia is undefeated (13-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .589
Georgia is undefeated (10-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .678
Georgia is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665
Georgia is 8-2 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .439
Matchup Notes for Florida vs. Georgia
Georgia’s TEs gained 545 yards on 43 receptions (12.7 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Florida’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia’s TEs gained 545 yards on 43 receptions (12.7 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Florida’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Georgia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 1,127 attempts since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida’s WRs had 11 receiving touchdowns last season — T-2nd-fewest among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense allowed 14 receiving touchdowns last season — T-4th-fewest among SEC defenses.
Florida’s TEs has gained 1,145 yards on 112 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC TEs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida RBs have averaged 11.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (100 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Florida RBs rushed for 11 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Florida WRs averaged 16.6 yards per reception (2,317 yards/140 catches) last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.4
Florida WRs averaged 16.6 yards per reception (2,317 yards/140 catches) last season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Florida TEs averaged just 2.7 yards per reception (8 yards/3 catches) with over 10 yards to go last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.2
Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia WRs have averaged 18.6 yards per reception (279 yards/15 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 13.3
Georgia WRs have averaged 25.5 yards per reception (204 yards/8 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4
Georgia Skill Players have averaged 24.0 yards per reception (192 yards/8 catches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7
Georgia TEs have averaged 26.6 yards per reception (133 yards/5 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5
Georgia WRs have averaged 25.5 yards per reception (204 yards/8 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 78% (18 completions/23 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 62%
Florida has allowed 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– most in the SEC
Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Florida allowed passes of 40+ yards on 20 of 325 attempts (6%) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Florida allowed passes of 40+ yards on 20 of 325 attempts (6%) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%
Georgia Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia has allowed 75.4 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 139.2
Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 84 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Georgia has allowed first downs on 55% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 22%
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