Florida vs Georgia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:42 PM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Florida Gators (4-4) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Georgia Bulldogs (8-0) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Jacksonville.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Florida vs. Georgia is total points.

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Florida vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida
Georgia

Florida vs Georgia Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 76.6% confidence.

Florida vs Georgia Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 73.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and Georgia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Florida Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Georgia Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Georgia is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Georgia is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Georgia is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Florida is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Florida is 2-7 (.154) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .358

Florida is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .300

Florida is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .339

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Florida

#1 Georgia is 16-1 (.842) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .425

#1 Georgia is 18-1 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418

#1 Georgia is undefeated (11-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

#1 Georgia is 18-1 (.818) when rushing for more than 100 yards — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444

Matchup Notes for Florida vs. Georgia

Georgia’s TEs has 50 receptions in 7 games (7.1 per game) this season — best among SEC TEs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 27.6 receptions per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has 125 receptions in 22 games (5.7 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among P5 TEs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 24.6 receptions per game since the 2021 season — worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia’s offense has thrown for 2,353 passing yards in 7 games (336.1 YPG) this season — fifth-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 299.3 passing yards per game this season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida has gained 1,337 yards on 98 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — fifth-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for best among SEC defenses.

Florida’s TEs has 14 receptions in 7 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — third-worst among SEC TEs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — tied for second-best among SEC defenses.

Florida’s WRs has gained 1,096 yards on 67 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — third-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for best among SEC defenses.

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida Skill Players have just one touchdown on 8 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Florida Skill Players have just one touchdown on 8 receptions in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Florida has gained 1,337 yards on 98 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — fifth-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for best among SEC defenses.

Florida’s TEs has 14 receptions in 7 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — third-worst among SEC TEs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — tied for second-best among SEC defenses.

Florida’s WRs has gained 1,096 yards on 67 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — third-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for best among SEC defenses.

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

#1 Georgia TEs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have 34 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have 656 receiving yards this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have averaged 109.3 receiving yards per game (656/6) this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 35.5

Florida Gators Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 7 of 29 attempts (24%) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

Florida has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 7 of 29 attempts (24%) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 9%

Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 83% (15 completions/18 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 59%

Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (21 completions/29 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Florida has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 14 of 90 attempts (16%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

#1 Georgia opponents has averaged 53.5 Passing Attempts per TD (695 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since last season– best in FBS; Average: 20.0

#1 Georgia has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 14 rushes in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

#1 Georgia has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 14 rushes in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 4.7

#1 Georgia has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 52 carries (17.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.9

#1 Georgia has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 147 rushes this season– best in FBS; Average: 24


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.