Kansas vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

• The TCU Horned Frogs are a -5 point favorite vs. the Kansas Jayhawks
• Kansas vs. TCU Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
• TV Channel: FS1

Kansas (3-4) visit Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on TCU (3-4) on Oct. 31 in Fort Worth, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The TCU Horned Frogs are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -5 (-130).

The Kansas vs. TCU Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Kansas vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Kansas vs TCU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kansas Jayhawks and the TCU Horned Frogs, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kansas vs TCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Kansas Best Bets Today

• Kansas has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
• Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 18% ROI)

TCU Best Bets Today

• TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
• TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 40% ROI)
• TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• TCU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.05 Units / 2% ROI)

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas Jayhawks is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

• Kansas is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -9.95% ROI
• Kansas is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI
• Kansas is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI

TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

TCU Horned Frogs is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.38 Units / -17.97% ROI).

• TCU is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -29.96% ROI
• TCU is 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.55 Units / -72.55% ROI
• TCU is 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 63.23% ROI

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. TCU

Kansas is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .507

Kansas is 2-8 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499

Kansas is 5-10 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .488

Kansas was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

TCU was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

TCU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

TCU is 5-1 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2024 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .691

TCU is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .746

Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. TCU

TCU’s WRs had 1.7 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-4th-best among Big 12 WRs. Kansas’s defense allowed 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

TCU has averaged 12.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

TCU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 1,188 attempts since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.

Kansas gained 2,667 yards on 211 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. TCU’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas gained 2,667 yards on 211 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. TCU’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas gained 2,667 yards on 211 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. TCU’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7

Kansas have averaged 19.5 yards per completion (487 yards/25 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– T-3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8

Kansas WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (325 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

Kansas WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (325 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends

TCU WRs have averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (90 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.1

TCU RBs were targeted 5 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

TCU TEs have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among Big 12 Teams

TCU TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

TCU WRs have just one touchdown on 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 1.7

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas has no interceptions (49 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 33.6

Kansas allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (9 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 62%

Kansas has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 8.3

Kansas has allowed 4.7 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2024 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Kansas has intercepted 6 of 539 attempts (89.8 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 39.1

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends

TCU opponents has averaged 63.0 Passing Attempts per TD (189 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.9

TCU opponents has averaged 63.0 Passing Attempts per TD (189 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 21.3

TCU opponents has averaged 63.0 Passing Attempts per TD (189 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 23.7

TCU allowed first downs on 100% of pass attempts in close and late situations last week– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 31%

TCU has allowed 3 touchdowns on 100 completions (33.3 Completions Per TD) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 14.1

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