Southern Mississippi vs UL Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

Louisiana Monroe head coach Bryant Vincent reacts to a play during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Auburn, Saturday, Nov. 16, 2024, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/ Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/ Butch Dill)
BetMGM Sportsbook Promos
  • The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are a -4 point favorite vs. the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
  • Southern Mississippi vs. UL Monroe Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Southern Mississippi (2-5) visit JPS Field at Malone Stadium to take on UL Monroe (1-6) on Oct. 31 in Monroe, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -4 (-105).

The Southern Mississippi vs. UL Monroe Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

Bet now on Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Southern Mississippi vs. UL Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern Mississippi-4 -10556.5 -110-165
UL Monroe +4 -12556.5 -108+140

Southern Mississippi vs UL Monroe Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Southern Miss will win this game with 62.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


Bet now on Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles and all games with BetMGM


  • Southern Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Southern Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UL Monroe has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • UL Monroe has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UL Monroe have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UL Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UL Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Southern Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss Golden Eagles is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Southern Mississippi is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Southern Mississippi is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Southern Mississippi is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -46.05% ROI).

  • UL Monroe is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -44.55% ROI
  • UL Monroe is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • UL Monroe is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Southern Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe

Southern Miss was winless (0-4) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Southern Miss was winless (0-10) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Southern Miss was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Southern Miss was winless (0-11) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Mississippi

Louisiana-Monroe is 1-13 (.071) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .370

Louisiana-Monroe is winless (0-13) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .379

Louisiana-Monroe is 4-10 (.286) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .632

Louisiana-Monroe is 1-15 (.062) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .396

Matchup Notes for Southern Mississippi vs. UL Monroe

Louisiana-Monroe’s WRs had 108 receptions in 12 games (just 9.0 per game) last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. Southern Miss’s defense allowed 20.9 receptions per game last season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe had 171 receptions in 12 games (just 14.2 per game) last season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Southern Miss’s defense allowed 20.9 receptions per game last season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe’s RBs have just 15.8 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 17th-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed 31.1 receiving yards per game to RBs since the 2024 season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Southern Miss’s WRs gained 2,596 yards on 183 receptions (14.2 YPR) last season — 33rd-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Southern Miss’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 454 attempts last season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Southern Miss’s WRs had 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Southern Mississippi Offensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss were sacked on 23% of pass attempts (14/61) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Southern Miss have thrown one TD on 61 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 5th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.2

Southern Miss RBs rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Southern Miss’s WRs gained 2,596 yards on 183 receptions (14.2 YPR) last season — 33rd-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Southern Miss were sacked on 23% of pass attempts (14/61) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged just 11.1 receptions per game (133/12) last season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Louisiana-Monroe has scored on 17% of their drives (52/301) since the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 26%

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 18.8 yards per reception (339 yards/18 catches) with over 10 yards to go last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

Southern Mississippi Defensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has sacked opposing QBs just once on 71 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.6

Southern Miss allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 35 of their 474 carries (7%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 4%

Southern Miss allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 35 of their 474 carries (7%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4%

Southern Miss forced 3 fumbles on 474 carries (158.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7

Southern Miss forced 3 fumbles on 474 carries (158.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

UL Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe sacked opposing QBs on 22% of pass attempts (4/18) last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Louisiana-Monroe sacked opposing QBs on 22% of pass attempts (4/18) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

The Louisiana-Monroe defense allowed scores on 12% of opponent drives (2/17) last week– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 25%

Louisiana-Monroe allowed 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (200 yards / 56 touches) last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.9

Louisiana-Monroe allowed just 5.2 yards per completion (47 yards/9 completions) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7


Bet now on Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

College football betting is available at the online sportsbook throughout the season.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Indiana football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State odds this week, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.