- The Utah Utes are a -6.5 point favorite vs. the Cincinnati Bearcats
- Utah vs. Cincinnati Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Utah (7-0) visit Nippert Stadium to take on Cincinnati (5-2) on Oct. 31 in Cincinnati, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:45 pm.
The Utah Utes are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-112).
The Utah vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Utah vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Utah | -6.5 -112 | 55.5 -105 | -235 |
| Cincinnati | +6.5 -105 | 55.5 -125 | +200 |
Utah vs Cincinnati Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 57.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Utah Utes and the Cincinnati Bearcats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Utah vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Utah Best Bets Today
- Utah has hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- Utah have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Utah has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Cincinnati Best Bets Today
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.58 Units / 12% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah Utes is 6-1 against the spread this college football season (+4.9 Units / 63.8% ROI).
- Utah is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 8.01% ROI
- Utah is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.07% ROI
- Utah is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.38 Units / -17.97% ROI
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati Bearcats is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.07% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 39.61% ROI
- Cincinnati is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.88 Units / 37.8% ROI
- Cincinnati is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -44.99% ROI
Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
Utah is undefeated (12-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: .540
Utah is 12-2 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .488
Utah is winless (0-1) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .323
Utah is undefeated (12-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .589
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Utah
Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Cincinnati is 9-4 (.692) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .540
Cincinnati was 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451
Cincinnati is 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .391
Matchup Notes for Utah vs. Cincinnati
Cincinnati gained 3,006 yards on 225 receptions (13.4 YPR) last season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. Utah’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati’s WRs gained 2,198 yards on 151 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s TEs had 36 receptions in 13 games (just 2.8 per game) last season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Utah’s defense allowed just 14.6 receptions per game last season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah gained 2,678 yards on 209 receptions (12.8 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah’s WRs gained 1,335 yards on 104 receptions (just 12.8 YPR) last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah’s TEs had 79 receptions in 13 games (6.1 per game) last season — T-4th-best among FBS TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20.0 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Utah Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah WRs averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (104 Rec/4 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9
Utah TEs caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah TEs caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
Utah gained 2,678 yards on 209 receptions (12.8 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati threw for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Offenses
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 7.1 Yards per Carry (1,271 yards/178 carries) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Cincinnati caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Offenses
Cincinnati Skill Players caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 6.5 Yards per Carry (2,843 yards/440 carries) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Utah Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (17 completions/49 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Utah has allowed opponents to catch just 315 of 631 passes (50% Reception Pct) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Utah allowed passes of 40+ yards on 3 of 35 attempts (9%) last week– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2%
The Utah defense has allowed scores on 4% of opponent drives (1/28) in the 1st quarter this season– best in FBS; Average: 19%
Utah tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 22 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati has tackled opponents for a loss on just 91 of 778 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Cincinnati opponents has averaged 10.3 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Cincinnati intercepted 2 of 388 attempts (194.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 35.4
Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.8
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