Georgia Tech vs Clemson Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney questions an official after a play during the first half of the Cheez-It Bowl NCAA college football game against Iowa State in Orlando, Fla., Wednesday, Dec. 29, 2021. Clemson had won six straight ACC titles heading into last season, but started 4-3 and fell out of contention for a seventh. The team rebounded, though, to win their last six games — the longest current win streak among Power Five teams — and look to a slimmer, more confident quarterback DJ Uiagalelei to start a new championship run. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack, File)
(AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)
  • The Clemson Tigers are a -12.5 point favorite vs. the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
  • Georgia Tech vs. Clemson Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

Georgia Tech (2-7) visit Memorial Stadium to take on Clemson (6-3) on Nov. 14 in Clemson, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:30 pm.

The Clemson Tigers are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-120).

The Georgia Tech vs. Clemson Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Georgia Tech vs. Clemson Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Tech+12.5 -10848.5 -130+425
Clemson -12.5 -12048.5 -105-550

Georgia Tech vs Clemson Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 83.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and the Clemson Tigers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia Tech vs Clemson Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Tech will cover the spread with 67.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 1% ROI)

Georgia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets is 1-8 against the spread this college football season (-7.75 Units / -78.84% ROI).

  • Georgia Tech is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -76% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.62 Units / 6.31% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -15.55% ROI

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson Tigers is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -15.92% ROI).

  • Clemson is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 10.67% ROI
  • Clemson is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.48 Units / -14.98% ROI
  • Clemson is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.05% ROI

Georgia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

Georgia Tech was 1-4 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia Tech is 1-5 (.167) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .414

Georgia Tech is 1-5 (.167) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .354

Georgia Tech is 2-9 (.182) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .390

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Tech

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Clemson was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Matchup Notes for Georgia Tech vs. Clemson

Clemson’s WRs has 557 receptions in 36 games (15.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed just 18.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Clemson has 812 receptions in 36 games (22.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed just 18.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s WRs had 200.9 receiving yards per game last season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia Tech’s defense allowed 173.5 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 391 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 391 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.

Georgia Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 391 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 391 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 391 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.

Georgia Tech TEs have been targeted 11.0 times per game (99/9) this season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Georgia Tech TEs have been targeted 31 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Georgia Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 391 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

Clemson have thrown 4 TDs on 278 pass attempts (one TD every 69.5 Pass Attempts) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.5

Clemson have thrown 0 TDs on 55 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3

Clemson WRs have just one touchdown on 137 receptions this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Clemson have averaged a touchdown every 44.8 receptions (179 Rec/4 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7

Clemson have thrown 9 TDs on 75 pass attempts (one TD every 8.3 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7

Georgia Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech has intercepted 2 of 236 attempts (118.0 pass attempts per int.) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 40.6

Georgia Tech intercepted 5 of 401 attempts (80.2 pass attempts per int.) last season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9

Georgia Tech allowed 4.8 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

Georgia Tech has allowed 5.5 touchdowns per interception (33 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.8

Georgia Tech has intercepted 6 of 643 attempts (107.2 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 39.3

Clemson Defensive Stats & Trends

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (22 completions/60 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (9 completions/28 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 63%

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (7 completions/30 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 53%

Clemson opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9

Clemson has allowed opponents to catch just 7 of 27 passes (26% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 54%


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