Kennesaw State vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Tennessee Volunteers head coach Josh Heupel looks on during a team practice session ahead of the 2022 Orange Bowl, Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2022, in Miami Shores, Fla. Tennessee will face the Clemson Tigers in the Orange Bowl on Friday, Dec. 30.(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)
(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)
Week 8 Odds Boost
  • The Tennessee Volunteers are a -35.5 point favorite vs. the Kennesaw State Owls
  • Kennesaw State vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

Kennesaw State (1-1) visit Neyland Stadium to take on Tennessee (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45 pm.

The Tennessee Volunteers are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -35.5 (-108).

The Kennesaw State vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

Bet now on Tennessee Volunteers vs Kennesaw State Owls & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Kennesaw State vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kennesaw State+35.5 -11059.5 -112+5000
Tennessee -35.5 -10859.5 -105-50000

Kennesaw State vs Tennessee Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kennesaw State Owls and the Tennessee Volunteers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kennesaw State vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kennesaw State will cover the spread with 63.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Kennesaw State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+1.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Kennesaw State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kennesaw State Owls is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Kennesaw State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -8.88% ROI
  • Kennesaw State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kennesaw State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee Volunteers is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI).

  • Tennessee is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 20.83% ROI
  • Tennessee is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Tennessee is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kennesaw State: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

Kennesaw State was winless (0-8) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Kennesaw State was winless (0-1) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .622

Kennesaw State was 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Kennesaw State was winless (0-1) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Kennesaw State

Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Tennessee was 10-3 (.769) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Matchup Notes for Kennesaw State vs. Tennessee

Tennessee’s TEs has 65 receptions in 15 games (4.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Ethan Davis (TENN) has 24 receptions in 11 games (2.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best of Qualified SEC Tight Ends. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Ethan Davis (TENN) has gained 300 yards on 24 receptions (12.5 YPR) since the 2024 season — 8th-best of Qualified Power 5 Tight Ends. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2024 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State’s WRs gained 2,681 yards on 186 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Tennessee’s defense allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 421 attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.2% of attempts last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Kennesaw State’s WRs had 191.5 receiving yards per game last season — 33rd-best among FBS WRs. Tennessee’s defense allowed 244.8 receiving yards per game last season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kennesaw State RBs averaged 8.1 Yards per Carry (114 yards/14 carries) in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Kennesaw State Skill Players averaged just 5.5 yards per reception (44 yards/8 catches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Kennesaw State WRs averaged just 4.7 yards per reception (14 yards/3 catches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Kennesaw State Skill Players averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (3 yards/1 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Kennesaw State RBs averaged 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (295 yards / 111 touches) on 2nd down last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee WRs averaged just 4.4 yards per target (244 yards/56 targets) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 8.3

Tennessee WRs averaged just 9.4 yards per reception (244 yards/26 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.5

Tennessee RBs rushed for 9 TDs in the 1st quarter last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Tennessee WRs averaged 32.5 yards per reception (65 yards/2 catches) in the 1st half last week– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.4

Tennessee RBs rushed for 31 TDs last season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Kennesaw State Defensive Stats & Trends

Kennesaw State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 7 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (30 completions/38 attempts) in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Kennesaw State intercepted 4 of 360 attempts (90.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (3 completions/3 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee forced 19 fumbles last season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee forced 19 fumbles last season– most in the SEC

Tennessee opponents averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (34 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Tennessee allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (51 completions/72 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 60%

Tennessee allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 1 of their 31 carries (3%) last week– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 1%


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