Kent State vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

• The Ohio State Buckeyes are a -52.5 point favorite vs. the Kent State Golden Flashes
• Kent State vs. Ohio State Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
• TV Channel: FOX

Kent State (1-1) visit Ohio Stadium to take on Ohio State (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Ohio State Buckeyes are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -52.5 (-108).

The Kent State vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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Kent State vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Kent State vs Ohio State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kent State Golden Flashes and the Ohio State Buckeyes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kent State vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Kent State Best Bets Today

• Kent State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 49% ROI)
• Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• Kent State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• Kent State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 away games (+0.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• Kent State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Ohio State Best Bets Today

• Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
• Ohio State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 4% ROI)
• Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State Golden Flashes is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Kent State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 23.81% ROI
• Kent State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Kent State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State Buckeyes is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Ohio State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
• Ohio State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Ohio State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Kent State was winless (0-11) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Kent State was winless (0-12) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Kent State was winless (0-12) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442

Kent State was winless (0-6) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Ohio State was 9-2 (.818) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Ohio State was 12-1 (.923) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Ohio State was 14-1 (.933) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

Ohio State was 14-1 (.933) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– best in FBS; Average: .624

Matchup Notes for Kent State vs. Ohio State

Ohio State’s WRs had 189.4 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Kent State’s defense allowed 173.0 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs had 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Kent State’s defense allowed 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s offense averaged 2.4 passing TDs per game last season — T-6th-best among FBS offenses. Kent State’s defense allowed 2.1 passing TDs per game last season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Kent State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 292 attempts last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Kent State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 292 attempts last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 292 attempts last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — best among P5 defenses.

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 292 attempts last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Kent State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 292 attempts last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 292 attempts last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — best among P5 defenses.

Kent State QBs had 4 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last week– most among FBS Teams

Kent State gained 2,365 yards on 163 receptions (14.5 YPR) last season — 8th-best among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception last season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State Skill Players caught 313 of 395 passes(79% Reception Pct) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 64%

Ohio State WRs were targeted 24 times in the 4th quarter last season– fewest among Power Conference Teams

Ohio State WRs caught 193 of 251 passes(77% Reception Pct) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Ohio State Skill Players caught 34 of 40 passes(85% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 57%

Ohio State TEs had 13 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Kent State Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Kent State allowed 43 TDs in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2.0

Kent State allowed 18 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Kent State allowed 240.9 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– worst in FBS; Average: 144.7

Kent State allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 28% of PATs last season– highest in FBS; Average: 8%

Ohio State opponents averaged 44.1 Passing Attempts per TD (441 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 20.6

Ohio State opponents averaged 48.9 Passing Attempts per TD (342 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.7

Ohio State allowed 129.7 Passing Yards per game (1,816/14) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 214.2

Ohio State allowed 4.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,067 yards / 633 touches) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.5

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