- The Baylor Bears are a -19 point favorite vs. the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- Louisiana Tech vs. Baylor Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Louisiana Tech (1-1) visit McLane Stadium to take on Baylor (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Waco, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 pm.
The Baylor Bears are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -19 (-110).
The Louisiana Tech vs. Baylor Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Louisiana Tech vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Louisiana Tech | +19 -108 | 53.5 -110 | +750 |
| Baylor | -19 -110 | 53.5 -108 | -1100 |
Louisiana Tech vs Baylor Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the Baylor Bears, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Louisiana Tech vs Baylor Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 65.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Louisiana Tech Best Bets Today
- Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 93% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets Today
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Louisiana Tech is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Louisiana Tech is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Louisiana Tech is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor Bears is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 93.02% ROI).
- Baylor is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Baylor is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI
- Baylor is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 88.89% ROI
Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor
Louisiana Tech was winless (0-2) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Louisiana Tech was winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Louisiana Tech was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Louisiana Tech was 3-8 (.273) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .442
Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech
Baylor was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .442
Baylor was 2-7 (.222) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665
Baylor was 2-5 (.286) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Baylor was 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game last season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Matchup Notes for Louisiana Tech vs. Baylor
Baylor’s QBs threw for 3,715 passing yards in 12 games (309.6 YPG) last season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed 240.3 passing yards per game last season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s TEs had 61 receptions in 12 games (5.1 per game) last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed 20.5 receptions per game last season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s offense threw for 3,715 passing yards in 12 games (309.6 YPG) last season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed 240.3 passing yards per game last season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech’s offense threw for 2,130 passing yards in 13 games (just 163.8 YPG) last season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. Baylor’s defense allowed just 194.9 passing yards per game last season — 32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech’s offense threw for 2,130 passing yards in 13 games (just 163.8 YPG) last season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. Baylor’s defense allowed just 194.9 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Louisiana Tech’s QBs threw for 2,135 passing yards in 13 games (just 164.2 YPG) last season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. Baylor’s defense allowed just 194.9 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana Tech threw 3 TDs on 29 pass attempts (one TD every 9.7 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 5th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7
Louisiana Tech’s offense threw for 2,130 passing yards in 13 games (just 163.8 YPG) last season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. Baylor’s defense allowed just 194.9 passing yards per game last season — 32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech’s offense threw for 2,130 passing yards in 13 games (just 163.8 YPG) last season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. Baylor’s defense allowed just 194.9 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Louisiana Tech’s QBs threw for 2,135 passing yards in 13 games (just 164.2 YPG) last season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. Baylor’s defense allowed just 194.9 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Louisiana Tech averaged a touchdown every 24.4 receptions (195 Rec/8 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.2
Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends
Baylor Skill Players averaged 25.8 receptions per game (309/12) last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 19.2
Baylor WRs averaged just 8.3 yards per reception (166 yards/20 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 15.7
Baylor Skill Players were targeted 123 times in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Baylor TEs averaged 17.1 yards per reception (291 yards/17 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.2
Baylor’s QBs threw for 3,715 passing yards in 12 games (309.6 YPG) last season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed 240.3 passing yards per game last season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana Tech allowed opponents to catch just 22 of 61 passes (36% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 61%
Louisiana Tech allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (22 completions/62 attempts) in close and late situations last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 60%
Louisiana Tech allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (8 completions/23 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Louisiana Tech allowed opponents to catch just 22 of 61 passes (36% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Louisiana Tech had 22 interceptions last season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends
Baylor tackled opponents for a loss on just 62 of 491 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 15%.
Baylor did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 14.9
Baylor allowed just 5.3 yards per completion (74 yards/14 completions) last week– best in the Big 12; Average: 10.9
Baylor allowed 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (343 yards / 40 touches) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 5.1
Baylor did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
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