- The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are a -7 point favorite vs. the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Middle Tennessee (2-1) visit AmFirst Stadium to take on Jacksonville State (2-2) on Sep. 26 in Jacksonville, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).
The Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Middle Tennessee | +7 -102 | 51.5 -110 | +230 |
| Jacksonville State | -7 -115 | 51.5 -108 | -285 |
Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 65.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 61.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and all games with BetMGM
Middle Tennessee Best Bets Today
- Middle Tennessee have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Jacksonville State Best Bets Today
- Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Middle Tennessee is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 7.5% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.32 Units / -100% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 91.46% ROI
Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jacksonville State Gamecocks is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -2.33% ROI).
- Jacksonville State is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Middle Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State
Middle Tennessee is 2-9 (.182) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season– 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .531
Middle Tennessee was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Middle Tennessee was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385
Middle Tennessee is 3-9 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .455
Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tennessee
Jacksonville State was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Jacksonville State was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Jacksonville State is 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .386
Jacksonville State was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612
Matchup Notes for Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State’s QBs threw for 2,245 passing yards in 14 games (just 160.4 YPG) last season — 17th-worst among FBS teams. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 256.2 passing yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s WRs had just 112.1 receiving yards per game last season — 19th-worst among FBS WRs. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 256.2 receiving yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s offense threw for 2,268 passing yards in 14 games (just 162.0 YPG) last season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 256.2 passing yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs gained 563 yards on 61 receptions (9.2 YPR) last season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 10.4 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 10.4 RAC to RBs last season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs has averaged 6.7 targets per game since the 2024 season — T-10th-highest among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 3.8 receptions per game to RBs since the 2024 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Middle Tennessee have one interception on 149 attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 7th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 32.0
Middle Tennessee TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Middle Tennessee threw one interception on 149 attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 7th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 32.0
Middle Tennessee TEs had 17 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Middle Tennessee Skill Players have been targeted 142 times in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State have thrown 3 TDs on 37 pass attempts (one TD every 12.3 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7
Jacksonville State threw 3 TDs on 37 pass attempts (one TD every 12.3 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7
Jacksonville State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 6.5 receptions (13 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Jacksonville State RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams
Jacksonville State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 6.3 receptions (19 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends
Middle Tennessee allowed 5.4 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Middle Tennessee has allowed 31 TD passes this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Middle Tennessee has allowed 31 TD passes this season– most in FBS
Middle Tennessee had no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.4
Middle Tennessee allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 32%
Jacksonville State Defensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State has allowed 8 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Jacksonville State has allowed 8 TD passes in close and late situations this season– 2nd-most in FBS
Jacksonville State allowed 14 TDs in close and late situations last season– most in FBS
Jacksonville State has allowed 14 TDs in close and late situations this season– most in FBS
Jacksonville State allowed 8 TD passes in close and late situations last season– 2nd-most in FBS
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