- Navy Midshipmen is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic Owls
- Navy vs. Florida Atlantic Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Navy (1-0) visit Flagler Credit Union Stadium to take on Florida Atlantic (0-1) on Sep. 12 in Boca Raton, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Navy Midshipmen are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Navy vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Navy vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Navy | -4.5 -110 | 58.5 -112 | -200 |
| Florida Atlantic | +4.5 -108 | 58.5 -105 | +165 |
Navy vs Florida Atlantic Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 54.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Navy Midshipmen and the Florida Atlantic Owls, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Navy vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Navy will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Navy Best Bets Today
- Navy has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Florida Atlantic Best Bets Today
- Florida Atlantic has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy Midshipmen is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.08 Units / -100% ROI).
- Navy is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Navy is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 89.29% ROI
- Navy is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.08 Units / -100% ROI
Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida Atlantic Owls is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Florida Atlantic is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic
Navy was 10-1 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
Navy was 10-3 (.769) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Navy was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Navy is undefeated (6-0) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .495
Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Florida Atlantic was winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Florida Atlantic was 2-9 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Matchup Notes for Navy vs. Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic’s WRs had 288.1 receiving yards per game last season — best among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense allowed 175.5 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch last season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Navy’s defense allowed 12.5 RAC last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic has averaged just 9.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s RBs averaged 9.9 targets per game last season — highest among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 4.7 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 15.4% of 182 attempts last season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s WRs gained 265 yards on 13 receptions (20.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy WRs averaged just 1.0 receptions per game (13/13) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
Navy RBs averaged 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,206 yards / 412 touches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Navy Skill Players averaged just 6.4 receptions per game (83/13) last season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0
Navy WRs were targeted 2.1 times per game (27/13) last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.3
Navy RBs were targeted 9.9 times per game (129/13) last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic WRs averaged 24.2 receptions per game (290/12) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
Florida Atlantic Skill Players averaged 32.0 receptions per game (384/12) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0
Florida Atlantic averaged 32.1 receptions per game (385/12) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.2
Florida Atlantic WRs averaged 11.8 receptions per game (142/12) in the 2nd half last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7
Florida Atlantic were targeted 47.7 times per game (572/12) last season– highest among FBS Offenses; Average: 30.3
Navy Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Navy allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-3rd-most in FBS
Navy allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Navy allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (16 completions/44 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Navy allowed opponents to catch just 16 of 42 passes (38% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Florida Atlantic Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9
Florida Atlantic intercepted 3 of 370 attempts (123.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.8
Florida Atlantic intercepted 3 of 370 attempts (123.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5
Florida Atlantic allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Florida Atlantic allowed 9.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (394 yards / 44 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.0
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