- The FIU Panthers are a -3.5 point favorite vs. the New Mexico State Aggies
- New Mexico State vs. Florida International Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
New Mexico State (2-3) visit South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium to take on Florida International (2-2) on Oct. 7 in Miami, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The FIU Panthers are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-155).
The New Mexico State vs. Florida International Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. Florida International Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +3.5 +115 | 47.5 -120 | +195 |
| Florida International | -3.5 -155 | 47.5 -108 | -235 |
New Mexico State vs Florida International Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Florida International will win this game with 61.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the New Mexico State Aggies and the FIU Panthers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico State vs Florida International Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida International will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico State Best Bets Today
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Florida International Best Bets Today
- Florida International has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- Florida International has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.44 Units / 40% ROI)
- Florida International have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.52 Units / 12% ROI)
- Florida International has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.28 Units / 9% ROI)
- Florida International has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State Aggies is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.41% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -3.01% ROI
- New Mexico State is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.55% ROI
- New Mexico State is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.82 Units / 14.96% ROI
Florida International Against the Spread (ATS) Record
FIU Panthers is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.18 Units / -4.11% ROI).
- Florida International is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Florida International is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI
- Florida International is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 42.7% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida International
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
New Mexico State is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .389
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .454
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
Florida International: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Florida International was winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314
Florida International was 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Florida International was 3-8 (.273) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .422
Florida International was winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Florida International
Florida International’s RBs had just 14.4 receiving yards per game last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 32.9 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida International’s RBs had just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Florida International’s RBs had just 14.4 receiving yards per game last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 236.8 receiving yards per game last season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs averaged 6.1 targets per game last season — 19th-highest among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense allowed 4.1 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch last season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense allowed 9.8 RAC to RBs last season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs averaged 25.3 targets per game last season — 17th-highest among FBS WRs. Florida International’s defense allowed 14.8 receptions per game to WRs last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State WRs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico State Skill Players have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico State have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
New Mexico State RBs fumbled 10 times last season– most among FBS Teams
New Mexico State WRs caught just 88 of 210 passes(42% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60%
Florida International Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida International RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 108 carries (inf Carries Per TD) this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4
Florida International RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (429 yards / 114 touches) this season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Florida International RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 57 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since the 2024 season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.5
Florida International have thrown 1.5 interceptions per game (6/4) this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 0.7
Florida International RBs have averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (397 yards/108 carries) this season– T-6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 9 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%.
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
New Mexico State has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 9 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%
Florida International Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida International did not record a sack (30 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6
Florida International opponents averaged 39.4 Passing Attempts per TD (355 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3
Florida International opponents averaged 7.5 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Florida International tackled opponents for a loss on just 45 of 492 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Florida International opponents averaged 39.4 Passing Attempts per TD (355 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 20.6
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