Oregon State vs Colorado State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Colorado State coach Jay Norvell watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college football game against Air Force on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, at Air Force Academy, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • The Oregon State Beavers are a -4 point favorite vs. the Colorado State Rams
  • Oregon State vs. Colorado State Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • TV Channel: USA

Oregon State (2-2) visit Canvas Stadium to take on Colorado State (2-2) on Oct. 3 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm.

The Oregon State Beavers are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -4 (-155).

The Oregon State vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

Bet now on Colorado State Rams vs Oregon State Beavers & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Oregon State vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon State-4 -15559.5 +105-235
Colorado State +4 +11559.5 -140+200

Oregon State vs Colorado State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 53.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Oregon State Beavers and the Colorado State Rams, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oregon State vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 50.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Colorado State Rams vs Oregon State Beavers and all games with BetMGM


  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.05 Units / 8% ROI)

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon State Beavers is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Oregon State is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Oregon State is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Oregon State is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado State Rams is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.38% ROI).

  • Colorado State is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Colorado State is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 91.32% ROI
  • Colorado State is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.42 Units / -100% ROI

Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

Oregon State is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .380

Oregon State is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .461

Oregon State is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .339

Oregon State is 2-12 (.143) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .441

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State

Colorado State is winless (0-9) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Colorado State is winless (0-9) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .437

Colorado State is winless (0-8) when intercepting no passes since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .311

Colorado State is 2-11 (.154) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .463

Matchup Notes for Oregon State vs. Colorado State

Colorado State’s WRs had 138 receptions in 12 games (just 11.5 per game) last season — 4th-best among Pac-12 WRs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 16.5 receptions per game last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s WRs had 138 receptions in 12 games (just 11.5 per game) last season — 4th-best among Pac-12 WRs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 16.5 receptions per game last season — 3rd-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Colorado State averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 skill players. Oregon State’s defense allowed 13.4 RAC last season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oregon State’s WRs had 177 receptions in 12 games (14.8 per game) last season — best among Pac-12 WRs. Colorado State’s defense allowed just 17.1 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon State had 259 receptions in 12 games (21.6 per game) last season — best among Pac-12 skill players. Colorado State’s defense allowed just 17.1 receptions per game last season — 32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon State’s WRs had 177 receptions in 12 games (14.8 per game) last season — best among Pac-12 WRs. Colorado State’s defense allowed just 17.1 receptions per game last season — 32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Oregon State WRs averaged a touchdown every 30.4 receptions (152 Rec/5 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9

Oregon State TEs had no touchdowns on 4 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Oregon State WRs averaged a touchdown every 30.4 receptions (152 Rec/5 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State RBs had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State’s WRs had 138 receptions in 12 games (just 11.5 per game) last season — 4th-best among Pac-12 WRs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 16.5 receptions per game last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s WRs had 138 receptions in 12 games (just 11.5 per game) last season — 4th-best among Pac-12 WRs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 16.5 receptions per game last season — 3rd-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Colorado State TEs were targeted 6 times in the 4th quarter last week– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 skill players. Oregon State’s defense allowed 13.4 RAC last season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oregon State Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State sacked opposing QBs on 28% of pass attempts (7/25) last week– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Oregon State averaged a sack every 45.3 pass attempts (317 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1

Oregon State sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (7/317) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Oregon State sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (7/317) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Oregon State did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Colorado State has allowed 15.7 yards per completion (896 yards/57 completions) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7

Colorado State did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Colorado State allowed 8 TDs last week– most in FBS

Colorado State has allowed 211.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 148.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.