Southern Mississippi vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

• The Troy Trojans are a -10 point favorite vs. the Southern Miss Golden Eagles
• Southern Mississippi vs. Troy Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN2

Southern Mississippi (1-3) visit Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) to take on Troy (2-2) on Oct. 6 in Troy, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm.

The Troy Trojans are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -10 (-108).

The Southern Mississippi vs. Troy Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

Bet now on Troy Trojans vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Southern Mississippi vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Southern Mississippi vs Troy Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 69.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and the Troy Trojans, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Southern Mississippi vs Troy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 64.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Troy Trojans vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles and all games with BetMGM

Southern Mississippi Best Bets Today

• Southern Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
• Southern Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Southern Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• Southern Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• Southern Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.85 Units / 6% ROI)

Troy Best Bets Today

• Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
• Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 13 games (+1.65 Units / 7% ROI)
• Troy has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.35 Units / 3% ROI)
• Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)

Southern Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss Golden Eagles is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

• Southern Mississippi is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
• Southern Mississippi is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
• Southern Mississippi is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy Trojans is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

• Troy is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• Troy is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.35 Units / -100% ROI
• Troy is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 89.89% ROI

Southern Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Southern Miss was winless (0-4) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Southern Miss was winless (0-11) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Southern Miss is winless (0-5) when intercepting no passes since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .389

Southern Miss was 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Mississippi

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Troy was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Troy is 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception since the 2024 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .652

Matchup Notes for Southern Mississippi vs. Troy

Troy’s RBs had 24 receptions in 14 games (just 1.7 per game) last season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense allowed 20.9 receptions per game last season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Troy’s RBs had just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy’s QBs has rushed for 444 yards on 311 carries (just 1.4 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS teams. Southern Miss’s defense have allowed 5.0 YPC since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Southern Miss’s offense threw for 3,459 passing yards in 13 games (266.1 YPG) last season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed just 196.2 passing yards per game last season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Southern Miss’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 454 attempts last season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Southern Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 912 attempts since the 2024 season — T-22nd-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.2% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Southern Mississippi Offensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss were sacked on 23% of pass attempts (14/61) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

Southern Miss’s offense threw for 3,459 passing yards in 13 games (266.1 YPG) last season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed just 196.2 passing yards per game last season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Southern Miss were sacked on 23% of pass attempts (14/61) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Southern Miss’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 454 attempts last season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Southern Miss Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 23.6 receptions (165 Rec/7 TDs) last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy have averaged 22.2 yards per completion (200 yards/9 completions) with over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9

Troy has scored on 10% of their drives (3/30) in the 2nd half this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 26%

Troy have been sacked 67 times since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.9

Troy Skill Players have caught just 4 of 14 passes (29% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 59%

Troy were sacked 59 times last season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.0

Southern Mississippi Defensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (59 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.9

Southern Miss has averaged 1.65 interceptions per game (28/17) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.78

Southern Miss did not record a sack (49 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.8

Southern Miss has averaged 1.65 interceptions per game (28/17) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 0.78

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (59 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.3

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Troy has tackled opponents for a loss on 21 of 89 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Troy has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.8

Troy has allowed 5.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (104 yards / 18 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 3.8

Bet now on Troy Trojans vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles and all games with BetMGM

More College Football Betting at BetMGM

College football betting is available at the online sportsbook throughout the season.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Indiana football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State odds this week, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!