- The Boise State Broncos are a -21 point favorite vs. the Utah State Aggies
- Utah State vs. Boise State Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
Utah State (1-3) visit Albertsons Stadium to take on Boise State (3-1) on Oct. 3 in Boise, ID. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Boise State Broncos are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -21 (-102).
The Utah State vs. Boise State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Utah State vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Utah State | +21 -130 | 49.5 +105 | +950 |
| Boise State | -21 -102 | 49.5 -145 | -1400 |
Utah State vs Boise State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Utah State Aggies and the Boise State Broncos, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Utah State vs Boise State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 68.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Boise State Broncos vs Utah State Aggies and all games with BetMGM
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State Aggies is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Utah State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -75% ROI
- Utah State is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.35 Units / -100% ROI
- Utah State is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 89.89% ROI
Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boise State Broncos is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.58% ROI).
- Boise State is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 5.51% ROI
- Boise State is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.88 Units / 42.73% ROI
- Boise State is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.32 Units / -52.73% ROI
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State
Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Utah State was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
Utah State was 2-1 (.667) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
Boise State was undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
Boise State was undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– best in FBS; Average: .429
Boise State was 9-1 (.900) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Boise State was 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Boise State
Boise State’s WRs had 157 receptions in 14 games (just 11.2 per game) last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Utah State’s defense allowed 21.7 receptions per game last season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State had 273 receptions in 14 games (19.5 per game) last season — T-4th-worst among Pac-12 skill players. Utah State’s defense allowed 21.7 receptions per game last season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State was targeted 461 times last season — most among Pac-12 skill players. Utah State’s defense allowed 3,365 receiving yards last season — 4th-most among NonP5 defenses.
Utah State’s WRs gained 1,849 yards on 114 receptions (16.2 YPR) last season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense allowed 11.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 defenses.
Utah State’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense allowed 11.3 RAC last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 defenses.
Utah State gained 2,862 yards on 221 receptions (13.0 YPR) last season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Boise State’s defense allowed 11.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 defenses.
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State TEs were targeted 25 times in short yardage situations last season– most among FBS Teams
Utah State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams
Utah State TEs were targeted 11.9 times per game (143/12) last season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Utah State TEs averaged 7.8 receptions per game (94/12) last season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Utah State gained 40+ yards on 2 of their 18 receptions (11%) last week– 10th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends
Boise State RBs rushed for 15 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
Boise State RBs averaged 222.9 rushing yards per game (3,120/14) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9
Boise State RBs rushed for 855 yards in the 1st quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
Boise State’s WRs had 157 receptions in 14 games (just 11.2 per game) last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Utah State’s defense allowed 21.7 receptions per game last season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State RBs averaged 7.1 Yards per Carry (1,004 yards/142 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State allowed 20 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State allowed 20 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS
Utah State allowed 19 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State did not record a sack (49 pass attempts) last week– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.9
Utah State allowed 19 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS
Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends
Boise State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 10 of 120 attempts (8%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%
Boise State sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (56/451) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Boise State averaged 4.0 sacks per game last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Boise State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 10 of 120 attempts (8%) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
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