• The Blue Jays are -140 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Astros / Blue Jays TV Channel: SCHN | RSN

The Houston Astros (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-140) on June 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Astros are 37-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 40-37 ATS.

Astros vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 6-4, 3.25 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Shane Bieber 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+12.80 Units / 160% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• Joey Loperfido has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+15.00 Units / 167% ROI)
• Nathan Lukes has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 23 away games (+5.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+2.25 Units / 10% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+5.80 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 37-43 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -12.09% ROI).

• 37-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -8.24% ROI
• 42-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 4.08% ROI
• 34-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -13.74% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 40-37 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 0.34% ROI).

• 39-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -7.03% ROI
• 38-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -2.86% ROI
• 37-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -5.35% ROI

Blue Jays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Astros are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 2-37 (.051) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Astros are 34-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Astros are just 1-38 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Blue Jays are 6-30 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Blue Jays are 18-83 (.178) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Blue Jays are 21-80 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Blue Jays are 42-3 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have 53 extra-base hits out of 116 total hits (46%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 8% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Astros are batting .276 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 92 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting .193 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .218 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Astros pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (1,886 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (1,886 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have 131 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .230 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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