Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 16

Milwaukee Brewers' William Contreras hits a two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants Sunday, May 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
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  • The Brewers are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
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The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on April 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Blue Jays are 7-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 10-7 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 0-0, 9.01 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Sproat 0-1, 10.46 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+22.50 Units / 225% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+21.00 Units / 233% ROI)
  • Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+11.75 Units / 147% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+3.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 5-12 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -39.45% ROI).

  • 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -32.67% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.34% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -10.37% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 10-7 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 23.4% ROI).

  • 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -11.09% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 11.35% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -20.81% ROI

Brewers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Gary Sanchez +280
William Contreras +360
Daulton Varsho +360
Kazuma Okamoto +425
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +450

Brewers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
William Contreras 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ernie Clement 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Nathan Lukes 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Brewers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brice Turang 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Lockridge 0.5 -210 0.5 +150

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .040.

The Blue Jays are 17-59 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Brewers are just 5-4 (.556) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.

The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.

The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .108.

The Brewers are 79-9 (.898) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,464 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters had an OBP of .339 (3,229 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers won 45% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 6 runners this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have 34 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 5th most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.