Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 18

New York Yankees' Aaron Judge celebrates after hitting a two-run home run against the Los Angeles Dodgers during the first inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series, Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024, in New York.
(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
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  • The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Blue Jays
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The Toronto Blue Jays (+165) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-200) on May 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Blue Jays are 21-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 25-21 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 1-1, 3.94 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 2-2, 3.00 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -120O 9 -118+165
Yankees -1.5 +100U 9 -102-200

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 63.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+14.40 Units / 180% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+12.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+19.40 Units / 277% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.30 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+10.15 Units / 96% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 21-25 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -9.79% ROI).

  • 21-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -18.52% ROI
  • 21-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -8.47% ROI
  • 23-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.3% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 25-21 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 16.52% ROI).

  • 28-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -2.74% ROI
  • 20-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -12.78% ROI
  • 24-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 3.48% ROI

Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +150
Kazuma Okamoto +280
Ben Rice +310
George Springer +340
Paul Goldschmidt +380

Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
George Springer 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ernie Clement 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Patrick Corbin 3.5 -140 3.5 +105
Ryan Weathers 5.5 -105 5.5 -125

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are just 2-8 (.200) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (third in runs allowed).

The Blue Jays are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Blue Jays are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Blue Jays are 19-70 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 2-13 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Yankees are 14-6 (.700) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Yankees are 13-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .756.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .303 (1,256 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .496 at home this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .143 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 97 extra-base hits out of 195 total hits (50%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .861 (772 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,098 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 27 double plays in 345 opportunities (8%) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Avg of just 36% against the Blue Jays pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.70 (113.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .334 this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.29 (415.1 IP) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.